Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Atlético Madrid 		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+600
-158
+570
-160
0.57
1.97		2.54
o2-118
u2+102
o2-115
u2+100
Elche
Real Madrid 		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+785
-300
+750
-310
0.58
2.61		3.19
o3¼-105
u3¼-107
o3½+120
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Athletic Club		21.3%
53.0%		25.7%
+800
-210
+750
-220
1
4		-0.40515-0.40462-0.63394
Valladolid
Alavés		32.7%
37.6%		29.7%
+500
-160
+515
-168
3
2		-1.82635-1.86130-1.11874
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad		50.6%
23.3%		26.1%
+170
+193
+170
+190
1
1		-1.17613-1.15506-1.34209
Betis
Sevilla		13.3%
67.4%		19.2%
+183
+174
+180
+165
0
1		-1.03364-1.02521-0.39420
Barcelona
Alavés		77.7%
7.6%		14.7%
-138
+380
-142
+365
3
0		-0.56553-0.57782-0.25279
Villarreal
Real Madrid		19.1%
58.7%		22.1%
+965
-375
+875
-400
0
2		-0.26742-0.27055-0.53237
Celta Vigo
Las Palmas		48.2%
25.1%		26.7%
+120
+300
+100
+280
1
0		-0.77061-0.73779-0.73052
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid		29.1%
42.8%		28.1%
+155
+235
+150
+215
2
1		-0.95446-0.96582-1.23447
Osasuna
Getafe		29.5%
41.9%		28.6%
+317
+118
+315
+115
1
1		-1.15230-1.14178-1.25082
Valencia
Leganés		45.0%
26.9%		28.1%
+200
+200
+190
+195
0
0		-1.06467-1.05794-1.27090
Las Palmas
Villarreal		8.2%
76.8%		14.9%
+550
-200
+575
-210
1
3		-0.42977-0.41471-0.26373
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+163
+190
+165
+183
1
1		-1.25316-1.21635-1.24448
Espanyol
Betis		25.4%
48.9%		25.7%
+670
-165
+640
-205
0
1		-0.46436-0.44167-0.71592
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+435
-135
+390
-135
1
1		-1.36897-1.35600-1.35491
Barcelona
Osasuna		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-128
+460
-125
+470
2
4		-1.67435-1.70057-2.25037
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+420
-115
+394
-115
0
3		-0.64680-0.66703-0.59898
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27414 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28710 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.51759
-0.24345
-0.23049

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.