Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+425
+100
+400
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+403
-140
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-125
+320
-125
+302
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½+102
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-119
+396
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-106
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Barcelona		28.2%
45.7%		26.1%
+240
+124
+220
+125
1
2		-0.82615-0.84961-0.78368
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+196
+182
+185
+175
0
2		-1.06111-1.05834-1.64398
Elche
Real Sociedad		11.3%
70.5%		18.2%
+863
-250
+800
-260
0
2		-0.36258-0.37490-0.35011
Villarreal
Osasuna		52.5%
23.6%		23.9%
+161
+204
+150
+205
3
0		-0.98366-0.96551-0.64451
Valencia
Atlético Madrid		10.7%
70.7%		18.6%
+715
-199
+650
-200
0
3		-0.43315-0.45426-0.34698
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+163
+202
+160
+195
3
1		-1.00136-1.00570-1.04007
Cadiz
Almería		25.6%
46.6%		27.8%
+288
+111
+295
+100
1
1		-1.25966-1.25931-1.28049
Athletic Club
Valladolid		44.4%
27.7%		27.9%
-103
+320
-115
+305
3
1		-0.69555-0.67647-0.81164
Barcelona
Athletic Club		67.0%
13.5%		19.6%
+118
+286
+110
+265
1
0		-0.78281-0.78946-0.40121
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+440
-146
+400
-145
1
1		-1.42213-1.39837-1.57219
Almería
Sevilla		11.5%
69.6%		18.9%
+453
-155
+440
-160
1
2		-0.52427-0.53485-0.36182
Osasuna
Valencia		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+330
+108
+310
+100
0
1		-0.75317-0.74345-0.75766
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+298
+109
+300
+105
0
3		-0.76329-0.76692-0.73961
Valladolid
Elche		35.0%
34.8%		30.3%
+201
+158
+180
+160
1
1		-1.22081-1.22693-1.19521
Espanyol
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1300
-425
+950
-375
1
3		-0.24327-0.28650-0.24382
Getafe
Cadiz		43.0%
26.9%		30.0%
+264
+151
+245
+145
2
2		-1.07105-1.09506-1.20257
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.