Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo 		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+171
+187
+170
+185
1.24
1.06		2.30
o2¼+102
u2¼-117
o2-145
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Villarreal
Levante 		47.3%
27.9%		24.9%
-135
+350
-136
+350
1.59
1.16		2.75
o3-109
u3-111
o3+105
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Real Madrid
Alavés 		74.0%
9.3%		16.7%
-164
+494
-164
+475
2.30
0.68		2.98
o2¾+102
u2¾-117
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Dec 13, 2025
Games for Dec 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+880
-325
+810
-325
0
3		-0.30385-0.31563-0.17831
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+525
-175
+500
-180
0
2		-0.48315-0.48568-1.52482
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+121
+205
+118
+205
4
4		-1.40092-1.40307-1.39328
Las Palmas
Cadiz		24.4%
47.3%		28.2%
+350
-107
+355
-115
0
0		-1.26695-1.27140-1.26553
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+345
-108
+330
-108
0
1		-0.68866-0.70029-1.24316
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+725
-213
+670
-200
0
1		-0.41349-0.43951-0.59898
Barcelona
Almería		75.0%
9.3%		15.8%
-257
+625
-270
+640
2
0		-0.36288-0.36071-0.28834
Betis
Las Palmas		53.3%
22.4%		24.3%
+140
+222
+140
+215
2
2		-1.22373-1.21963-1.41420
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+245
+130
+226
+140
1
2		-0.86202-0.89715-1.16059
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-135
+415
-140
+410
3
0		-0.58562-0.58749-0.44124
Granada
Rayo Vallecano		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+560
-182
+575
-190
1
2		-0.47231-0.47188-1.37714
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+260
+115
+270
+115
1
0		-1.31316-1.32920-2.43349
Alavés
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1285
-480
+1250
-470
0
5		-0.22357-0.23163-0.23226
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+400
-140
+405
-135
0
2		-0.57362-0.58152-0.45834
Almería
Betis		28.9%
45.1%		26.0%
+677
-250
+700
-269
2
3		-0.36938-0.36136-0.79709
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+267
+128
+265
+125
0
0		-1.17555-1.16488-1.47133
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.57870 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.57733 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.67847
-0.09977
-0.10115

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.