Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Barcelona 		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+825
-317
+825
-340
0.94
1.66		2.60
o3½+105
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Celta Vigo
Betis 		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+280
+110
+288
+105
1.13
1.46		2.59
o2½-103
u2½-115
o2½-105
u2½-115
Osasuna
Real Sociedad 		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+310
-107
+315
-110
0.93
1.95		2.88
o2½+100
u2½-110
o2½-110
u2½-110
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Osasuna		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-128
+460
-125
+470
2
4		-1.67435-1.70057-2.25037
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+420
-115
+394
-115
0
3		-0.64680-0.66703-0.59898
Alavés
Getafe		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+253
+160
+254
+160
0
2		-0.96816-0.97334-0.69669
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.8%
10.5%		18.7%
-111
+325
-108
+313
1
0		-0.67346-0.68655-0.34487
Betis
Las Palmas		53.3%
22.4%		24.3%
+115
+270
+120
+263
1
1		-1.24230-1.23712-1.41420
Villarreal
Espanyol		59.2%
18.2%		22.6%
+110
+258
+120
+230
2
1		-0.77470-0.83559-0.52367
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1160
-360
+1300
-425
0
1		-0.26686-0.24552-0.28842
Alavés
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1800
-600
+1600
-575
2
3		-0.18833-0.19539-0.23226
Valladolid
Sevilla		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+550
-160
+500
-160
1
2		-0.50456-0.52646-0.32884
Osasuna
Valencia		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+363
-103
+360
+105
0
0		-1.20925-1.18068-1.35000
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-125
+470
-135
+450
1
1		-1.28964-1.29390-1.81665
Barcelona
Villarreal		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-110
+310
-110
+285
5
1		-0.64689-0.67662-0.58857
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+415
-128
+346
-130
1
3		-0.60283-0.62179-0.70696
Leganés
Getafe		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+415
+104
+400
+105
1
1		-1.08196-1.08524-1.23881
Espanyol
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+2000
-625
+2250
-915
1
4		-0.16326-0.14681-0.24382
Las Palmas
Osasuna		17.2%
60.2%		22.6%
+360
-110
+340
-115
1
2		-0.66849-0.66787-0.50830
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.27720 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.28538 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.21370
0.06350
0.07168

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.