Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+425
+101
+400
+106
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾+100
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+415
-137
+380
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2½-112
u2½-106
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-125
+320
-125
+302
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¼-123
u3½-122
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-117
+385
-125
+380
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-110
o2½+130
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+199
+173
+190
+165
0
0		-1.17199-1.16398-1.30726
Real Madrid
Betis		68.4%
13.2%		18.4%
-133
+395
-140
+375
0
0		-1.43683-1.41001-1.69049
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+183
+195
+180
+180
0
0		-1.13069-1.14514-1.32655
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+903
-291
+800
-280
0
1		-0.32612-0.35415-0.29296
Espanyol
Valladolid		31.3%
39.0%		29.6%
+250
+134
+230
+130
1
2		-0.86612-0.88201-0.94115
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+545
-158
+490
-155
1
6		-0.51395-0.54787-0.69691
Villarreal
Almería		55.8%
21.0%		23.2%
+121
+240
+120
+225
2
0		-0.82481-0.83924-0.58429
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		11.6%
69.3%		19.0%
+740
-187
+615
-185
0
0		-1.40104-1.38581-1.65873
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+510
-140
+490
-145
1
2		-0.56909-0.57049-0.56256
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+465
-138
+450
-135
3
2		-1.75840-1.74589-2.04107
Barcelona
Almería		75.0%
9.3%		15.8%
-209
+600
-220
+575
0
1		-1.97393-1.95900-2.37947
Valladolid
Celta Vigo		28.4%
43.9%		27.7%
+430
-140
+440
-150
0
3		-0.56386-0.56138-0.82376
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+147
+233
+140
+220
0
1		-1.23035-1.21362-1.26298
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+385
-120
+370
-120
1
1		-1.29357-1.27479-1.20547
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz		31.8%
38.6%		29.6%
+173
+200
+160
+205
0
1		-1.13106-1.16533-0.95262
Betis
Elche		44.4%
28.9%		26.7%
+103
+295
+100
+290
3
2		-0.73514-0.74244-0.81148
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.