Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+418
+100
+400
+105
0.79
1.28		2.07
o1¾-102
u1¾-118
o1½-135
u1½+120
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+423
-135
+406
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-130
+325
-125
+306
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¼-124
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-121
+407
-125
+381
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-112
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+162
+241
+165
+225
0
1		-1.24862-1.22622-1.03016
Cadiz
Barcelona		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+1225
-391
+1200
-425
0
2		-0.25307-0.26046-0.19120
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+351
+100
+325
-105
0
1		-0.71494-0.71832-0.36268
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		68.6%
12.0%		19.4%
+235
+139
+215
+145
1
1		-1.20728-1.17847-1.63948
Espanyol
Elche		34.7%
34.7%		30.5%
+204
+175
+190
+160
1
0		-1.13744-1.11541-1.05849
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-137
+445
-145
+425
2
0		-0.56982-0.57235-0.38056
Valladolid
Betis		25.6%
48.9%		25.5%
+475
-148
+455
-155
1
2		-0.53669-0.54775-0.71515
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		15.5%
63.8%		20.7%
+425
-119
+400
-125
1
1		-1.27214-1.27225-1.57552
Elche
Real Madrid		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+1350
-413
+1300
-500
0
4		-0.23359-0.23183-0.21370
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		59.0%
18.0%		23.0%
+118
+314
+110
+310
3
2		-0.79689-0.78878-0.52821
Barcelona
Villarreal		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-120
+378
-130
+360
1
0		-0.62448-0.61865-0.58857
Osasuna
Valladolid		38.5%
32.9%		28.6%
+254
+138
+210
+155
0
0		-1.17821-1.15687-1.25180
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.8%
10.5%		18.7%
+127
+276
+115
+275
1
0		-0.83859-0.81353-0.34487
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+170
+232
+175
+205
1
1		-1.07411-1.07713-1.33758
Athletic Club
Valencia		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+145
+229
+140
+210
2
1		-0.91569-0.92591-1.13582
Betis
Almería		36.2%
36.1%		27.7%
+159
+196
+145
+195
3
2		-0.97040-0.94505-1.01636
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66371 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.66204 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.74329
-0.07958
-0.08125

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.