Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+266
+120
+285
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-101
u2¼-118
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Granada		24.6%
50.3%		25.0%
+107
+298
+100
+308
2
1		-0.74347-0.72348-1.40238
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+945
-305
+925
-300
4
1		-2.36905-2.35304-2.46322
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+880
-325
+810
-325
0
3		-0.30385-0.31563-0.17831
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+525
-175
+500
-180
0
2		-0.48315-0.48568-1.52482
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+121
+205
+118
+205
4
4		-1.40092-1.40307-1.39328
Las Palmas
Cadiz		24.4%
47.3%		28.2%
+350
-107
+355
-115
0
0		-1.26695-1.27140-1.26553
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+345
-108
+330
-108
0
1		-0.68866-0.70029-1.24316
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+725
-213
+670
-200
0
1		-0.41349-0.43951-0.59898
Barcelona
Almería		75.0%
9.3%		15.8%
-257
+625
-270
+640
2
0		-0.36288-0.36071-0.28834
Betis
Las Palmas		53.3%
22.4%		24.3%
+140
+222
+140
+215
2
2		-1.22373-1.21963-1.41420
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+245
+130
+226
+140
1
2		-0.86202-0.89715-1.16059
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-135
+415
-140
+410
3
0		-0.58562-0.58749-0.44124
Granada
Rayo Vallecano		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+560
-182
+575
-190
1
2		-0.47231-0.47188-1.37714
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+260
+115
+270
+115
1
0		-1.31316-1.32920-2.43349
Alavés
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1285
-480
+1250
-470
0
5		-0.22357-0.23163-0.23226
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+400
-140
+405
-135
0
2		-0.57362-0.58152-0.45834
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.