Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano 		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+252
+133
+235
+133
1.53
1.02		2.55
o2¼+102
u2¼-120
o2-130
u2+110
Celta Vigo
Barcelona 		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+950
-360
+825
-341
0.66
2.68		3.34
o3½-120
u3½+101
o3½-110
u3½-105
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas 		80.2%
5.7%		14.0%
-150
+432
-167
+450
2.43
0.49		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-110
o2½-125
u2½+105
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+505
-150
+575
-160
1
2		-0.54576-0.52232-0.40294
Leganés
Valencia		20.8%
53.7%		25.5%
+462
-128
+440
-128
0
2		-0.60611-0.62144-0.62206
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+307
+133
+300
+130
1
0		-1.43763-1.42134-0.88365
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+273
-102
+300
-105
1
1		-1.37251-1.36004-1.20547
Villarreal
Las Palmas		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
-157
+450
-170
+460
2
1		-0.52319-0.51061-0.34655
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+272
+115
+265
+110
2
3		-0.79314-0.78946-1.00736
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano		34.5%
36.1%		29.3%
+750
-235
+770
-240
0
1		-0.38596-0.39285-1.01774
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+138
+220
+140
+218
2
2		-1.22902-1.20587-1.28049
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		52.4%
23.3%		24.3%
+152
+220
+155
+215
1
2		-1.19660-1.18945-1.45766
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+267
+125
+263
+125
1
2		-0.84669-0.85257-0.69241
Alavés
Barcelona		5.6%
82.2%		12.2%
+1775
-625
+1500
-594
0
1		-0.17458-0.19445-0.19620
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-335
+930
-345
+915
0
1		-2.36276-2.35852-2.32760
Valladolid
Villarreal		13.4%
67.3%		19.3%
+1350
-475
+1400
-530
1
5		-0.21905-0.21503-0.39602
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+212
+173
+210
+170
0
0		-1.08895-1.09020-1.35712
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+253
+132
+233
+140
1
1		-1.17866-1.18123-1.22953
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+1200
-435
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.23926-0.24154-0.29296
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.09880 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.07362 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.21234
-0.11354
-0.13872

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.