Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas 		80.2%
5.7%		14.0%
-155
+440
-160
+425
2.43
0.49		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+110
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Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Celta Vigo
Barcelona 		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+960
-400
+900
-390
3.34
o3¾-110
u3¾-103
o3½-120
u3½+115
1st H
13:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+1200
-435
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.23926-0.24154-0.29296
Leganés
Athletic Club		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+990
-277
+1000
-300
0
0		-1.61934-1.63327-1.32471
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+443
-106
+470
-110
3
0		-1.72350-1.77797-1.65637
Real Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.8%		17.1%
-445
+1275
-450
+1225
3
0		-0.23431-0.24163-0.31357
Espanyol
Sevilla		9.9%
71.8%		18.3%
+415
-130
+435
-135
1
1		-1.31946-1.32950-1.69947
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+305
+101
+320
-105
1
1		-1.30291-1.34838-1.48479
Osasuna
Las Palmas		51.6%
22.9%		25.5%
+219
+142
+200
+150
1
1		-1.21033-1.19696-1.36661
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+165
+225
+165
+205
0
1		-1.20811-1.16398-1.26298
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+250
+132
+245
+130
1
1		-1.18104-1.18866-1.38458
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.4%		11.0%
+1650
-600
+1650
-690
1
4		-0.18903-0.18111-0.16909
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+133
+240
+180
+223
2
1		-0.87187-1.00373-0.90444
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-210
+640
-225
+660
1
1		-1.56413-1.56647-1.63969
Alavés
Betis		24.4%
50.4%		25.1%
+370
-115
+400
-120
3
1		-1.57881-1.63619-1.40870
Atlético Madrid
Leganés		71.9%
8.9%		19.2%
-185
+630
-200
+635
0
1		-2.02215-2.04030-2.42137
Valladolid
Espanyol		31.6%
38.8%		29.6%
+440
-122
+430
-130
1
2		-0.62131-0.61745-0.94768
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+300
+100
+295
+100
0
1		-0.72824-0.73129-0.88916
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.13722 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.13526 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.28636
-0.14914
-0.15110

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.