Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+270
+121
+265
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-101
u2¼-115
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+353
-120
+346
-125
0
3		-0.63175-0.62982-0.34845
Osasuna
Granada		27.1%
47.3%		25.6%
+240
+142
+240
+135
0
3		-0.91325-0.90084-0.74819
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+310
-102
+315
-110
1
3		-0.70958-0.69433-0.36268
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+197
+170
+190
+170
0
3		-1.01749-1.03541-1.07752
Getafe
Almería		36.5%
33.3%		30.2%
+195
+160
+187
+160
3
1		-1.11261-1.08975-1.00747
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
+233
+135
+222
+140
1
0		-1.23412-1.20835-0.71282
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+335
-138
+340
-138
2
3		-0.57887-0.57882-1.03877
Atlético Madrid
Alavés		73.9%
8.6%		17.5%
-125
+440
-125
+410
0
2		-1.71247-1.67815-2.45865
Villarreal
Almería		55.8%
21.0%		23.2%
-102
+257
-105
+250
2
1		-0.71184-0.71584-0.58429
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+125
+280
+115
+301
1
1		-1.15002-1.14536-1.31264
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+185
+177
+190
+173
2
1		-1.08119-1.10295-1.26954
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+325
+115
+320
+110
1
2		-0.79334-0.78220-1.19109
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+460
-147
+460
-150
1
4		-0.54863-0.55172-0.56449
Granada
Athletic Club		32.4%
39.8%		27.8%
+1000
-340
+1050
-360
1
1		-1.80042-1.81327-1.27834
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+240
+144
+245
+140
1
0		-1.25509-1.27744-0.96874
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+1140
-335
+1129
-350
2
2		-1.75169-1.74491-1.57644
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.