Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+270
+121
+265
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-101
u2¼-115
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+455
-163
+438
-165
1
1		-1.49063-1.47142-1.33143
Alavés
Granada		20.3%
55.7%		23.9%
+165
+205
+190
+175
0
2		-1.14256-1.04728-0.58456
Sevilla
Las Palmas		74.8%
8.5%		16.7%
+162
+195
+160
+189
2
0		-0.98216-0.99774-0.29099
Barcelona
Cadiz		78.3%
7.1%		14.6%
+100
+290
+110
+310
1
0		-0.72902-0.75184-0.24421
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+274
+133
+273
+130
0
0		-1.16133-1.14097-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+345
-110
+300
-105
1
2		-0.67109-0.70824-0.80399
Valencia
Granada		32.3%
40.7%		27.0%
+150
+221
+145
+215
1
0		-0.94487-0.94415-1.12945
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+255
+120
+210
2
1		-0.76970-0.83829-0.66582
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+490
-175
+475
-165
0
2		-0.48711-0.50785-0.36619
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+120
+305
+120
+290
1
0		-0.81735-0.83718-0.50382
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+347
-107
+340
-106
0
0		-1.29916-1.26954-1.33287
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+975
-385
+925
-390
0
1		-0.26635-0.26904-0.14466
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+200
+150
+190
+155
3
0		-1.13345-1.10660-1.04660
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+200
+167
+205
+160
1
0		-1.13271-1.14662-0.59904
Granada
Cadiz		48.6%
24.7%		26.7%
+410
-115
+390
-110
0
1		-0.65913-0.67708-1.39748
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+215
+127
+201
+130
3
0		-1.18182-1.14948-1.09383
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.