Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas 		80.2%
5.7%		14.0%
-157
+440
-160
+450
2.43
0.49		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+110
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+300
+100
+295
+100
0
1		-0.72824-0.73129-0.88916
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+1100
-315
+1000
-345
0
1		-0.30457-0.30143-0.28712
Getafe
Las Palmas		52.5%
20.8%		26.6%
+260
+150
+250
+150
2
1		-1.31524-1.28873-0.64360
Valencia
Sevilla		16.3%
61.7%		21.9%
+302
+110
+290
+115
1
1		-1.22153-1.20748-1.51681
Betis
Valladolid		39.9%
32.6%		27.5%
-128
+420
-135
+440
0
1		-1.67595-1.71236-1.12175
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+170
+190
+177
+175
1
2		-1.09201-1.05774-1.11682
Real Madrid
Valencia		62.7%
16.2%		21.1%
-235
+700
-230
+700
2
1		-0.37686-0.38274-0.46628
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		23.1%
52.8%		24.1%
+450
-142
+405
-135
1
1		-1.36626-1.35019-1.42308
Villarreal
Leganés		59.1%
17.8%		23.1%
-109
+325
-110
+335
5
2		-0.68500-0.68528-0.52541
Sevilla
Real Madrid		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+1075
-385
+1000
-400
2
4		-0.26316-0.26580-0.72365
Alavés
Valencia		20.5%
55.4%		24.1%
+302
+115
+312
+115
2
2		-1.18922-1.13897-1.42213
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona		30.0%
41.6%		28.4%
+262
+103
+270
-110
2
1		-1.31468-1.36074-1.20451
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+105
+357
+105
+315
2
1		-0.73489-0.75828-0.98152
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+197
+185
+187
+190
0
2		-1.06802-1.08043-1.56022
Valencia
Espanyol		45.1%
27.7%		27.2%
+227
+157
+225
+150
1
1		-1.12649-1.12741-1.30243
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+390
-132
+375
-130
1
1		-1.39002-1.37318-1.73330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.84406 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.84730 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.93213
-0.08808
-0.08483

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.