Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+273
+119
+265
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-105
u2¼-115
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+212
+155
+210
+159
0
2		-0.96972-0.98755-1.20735
Valencia
Villarreal		21.9%
54.9%		23.2%
+240
+123
+235
+121
0
1		-0.83635-0.83711-0.59915
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+305
-102
+318
-110
2
1		-1.42795-1.47408-2.15305
Alavés
Athletic Club		20.4%
54.5%		25.1%
+590
-165
+570
-175
0
2		-0.50405-0.49635-0.60624
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-205
+635
-209
+560
4
2		-0.42256-0.43990-0.38056
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		11.6%
69.3%		19.0%
+900
-227
+850
-230
0
2		-0.39141-0.40330-0.36636
Sevilla
Almería		62.3%
15.7%		22.0%
+120
+247
+120
+245
2
2		-1.26624-1.26160-1.51336
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+244
+115
+240
+113
3
2		-1.26121-1.26805-0.65143
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+875
-300
+850
-307
0
4		-0.30673-0.32251-0.26606
Athletic Club
Las Palmas		57.3%
18.6%		24.1%
-124
+400
-120
+370
2
0		-0.62224-0.65151-0.55760
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+315
+113
+315
+118
0
1		-0.78862-0.80133-0.88608
Real Sociedad
Granada		45.6%
28.4%		25.9%
-110
+370
-115
+379
3
2		-0.67686-0.66701-0.78493
Atlético Madrid
Cadiz		74.5%
8.0%		17.5%
-125
+387
-125
+370
0
2		-1.61380-1.58968-2.53099
Getafe
Valencia		28.8%
42.7%		28.4%
+355
+100
+350
-105
0
1		-0.72493-0.71961-0.85003
Alavés
Osasuna		24.9%
48.7%		26.3%
+255
+135
+240
+135
0
1		-0.88683-0.89578-0.71879
Barcelona
Athletic Club		67.0%
13.5%		19.6%
+124
+226
+125
+215
0
0		-1.30122-1.29927-1.63020
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.