Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valladolid 		38.5%
32.9%		28.6%
-125
+414
-120
+390
1.19
1.07		2.26
o2¼-120
u2¼+103
o2½+110
u2½-130
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+392
-132
+390
-145
1.20
1.36		2.56
o2½-110
u2½-110
o2½-110
u2½-105
Alavés
Sevilla 		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+362
+102
+360
+100
0.64
2.18		2.82
o2-110
u2-110
o2+100
u2-115
Athletic Club
Real Madrid 		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+477
-155
+450
-155
0.74
2.14		2.88
o2¾-101
u2¾-115
o2½-135
u2½+120
Games for Apr 19, 2025
Games for Apr 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+390
-132
+375
-130
1
1		-1.39002-1.37318-1.73330
Leganés
Barcelona		5.8%
80.9%		13.3%
+1850
-800
+1950
-800
1
0		-3.00518-3.05061-2.84284
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+300
-106
+295
-115
2
1		-1.40703-1.41911-1.71064
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad		8.2%
76.4%		15.3%
+1000
-297
+1000
-305
0
0		-1.67948-1.65250-1.87445
Athletic Club
Alavés		45.8%
26.5%		27.6%
+115
+320
+115
+325
1
1		-1.16790-1.14303-1.28696
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+1200
-290
+900
-255
0
1		-0.30900-0.37692-0.34470
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-192
+600
-180
+550
3
3		-1.49103-1.47845-1.86124
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+195
+165
+190
+160
0
1		-1.00299-1.00133-0.36407
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+180
+180
+175
+182
0
0		-1.18961-1.17144-1.24361
Valencia
Valladolid		45.1%
27.9%		27.0%
+142
+235
+145
+220
0
1		-1.23774-1.21470-1.27611
Espanyol
Getafe		23.5%
48.3%		28.1%
+525
-120
+560
-120
0
1		-0.63378-0.63599-0.72693
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+853
-261
+865
-265
3
4		-0.35586-0.35335-0.69691
Alavés
Osasuna		24.9%
48.7%		26.3%
+280
+125
+265
+125
2
2		-1.16114-1.18264-1.33518
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+375
-118
+335
-120
0
2		-0.63565-0.65427-1.25818
Real Sociedad
Leganés		58.8%
17.6%		23.6%
-125
+510
-105
+427
3
0		-0.61926-0.68826-0.53072
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		19.2%
57.8%		23.0%
+285
+125
+270
+125
1
0		-1.37964-1.35004-1.65078
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.08322 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.08244 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.48106
-0.39784
-0.39861

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.