Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valladolid 		38.5%
32.9%		28.6%
-120
+400
-120
+385
1.19
1.07		2.26
o2¼-112
u2¼-108
o2½+115
u2½-130
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+385
-137
+370
-135
1.20
1.36		2.56
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-110
u2½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Alavés
Sevilla 		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+362
-102
+360
+100
0.64
2.18		2.82
o2-120
u2+100
o2+100
u2+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Athletic Club
Real Madrid 		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+477
-163
+460
-160
0.74
2.14		2.88
o2¾-104
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+115
Games for Apr 19, 2025
Games for Apr 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-193
+505
-185
+475
2
2		-1.63317-1.58270-1.81825
Valladolid
Las Palmas		43.2%
28.2%		28.5%
+485
-152
+505
-150
1
2		-0.53561-0.54576-1.26408
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+128
+235
+120
+230
1
2		-1.23970-1.24026-1.81948
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+304
+100
+305
+100
1
1		-1.27927-1.27447-1.62547
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+497
-145
+450
-145
0
2		-0.55019-0.56405-0.49454
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+152
+235
+145
+235
2
1		-0.94202-0.93006-0.72880
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+1000
-290
+1025
-300
0
2		-0.32164-0.32584-0.34277
Atlético Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.0%		17.9%
-218
+675
-230
+680
5
0		-0.40901-0.40971-0.31396
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+120
+278
+120
+260
1
3		-1.35162-1.32017-1.04996
Leganés
Alavés		31.5%
37.7%		30.9%
+480
-122
+470
-125
1
1		-1.19703-1.20574-1.17587
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+1850
-675
+1950
-750
2
1		-2.99753-3.05676-3.26283
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+270
+138
+260
+140
0
1		-0.89610-0.90835-1.27090
Real Madrid
Leganés		72.4%
9.6%		17.9%
-300
+940
-260
+840
3
0		-0.32365-0.35362-0.32238
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		8.7%
74.9%		16.4%
+305
+108
+310
+105
0
1		-0.75394-0.75649-0.28960
Villarreal
Osasuna		52.5%
23.6%		23.9%
+175
+168
+170
+155
2
2		-1.24573-1.28942-1.43054
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		74.6%
9.4%		15.9%
-140
+360
-145
+345
2
2		-1.49134-1.50657-1.83596
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.08322 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.08244 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.48106
-0.39784
-0.39861

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.