Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+273
+119
+265
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-105
u2¼-115
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Betis
Atlético Madrid		8.7%
75.4%		15.9%
+550
-190
+525
-180
1
2		-0.45363-0.47406-0.28247
Granada
Villarreal		22.0%
54.9%		23.1%
+375
-130
+400
-150
1
5		-0.59597-0.54713-0.60040
Real Madrid
Valencia		62.7%
16.2%		21.1%
-160
+485
-159
+475
2
2		-1.42196-1.41391-1.55656
Las Palmas
Getafe		15.7%
60.6%		23.7%
+325
+105
+335
+100
3
3		-1.21970-1.21554-1.44130
Cadiz
Rayo Vallecano		31.2%
39.2%		29.6%
+460
-132
+450
-135
1
1		-1.28547-1.28349-1.21733
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+203
+180
+210
+173
2
3		-1.05544-1.02957-0.73010
Almería
Celta Vigo		31.8%
40.2%		28.0%
+367
-125
+340
-120
0
1		-0.61678-0.64341-0.91160
Sevilla
Real Madrid		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+910
-345
+950
-366
0
1		-0.28702-0.28140-0.72365
Osasuna
Las Palmas		51.6%
22.9%		25.5%
+226
+148
+227
+140
1
1		-1.15677-1.16427-1.36661
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+110
+303
+110
+285
1
3		-1.41634-1.38806-1.04828
Celta Vigo
Cadiz		38.6%
31.9%		29.5%
+150
+235
+155
+210
2
2		-1.12998-1.14555-1.22115
Atlético Madrid
Almería		71.0%
10.3%		18.7%
-130
+450
-152
+500
2
2		-1.38894-1.43389-1.67756
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+685
-240
+660
-253
0
4		-0.38299-0.38025-0.28842
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+484
-160
+450
-155
3
1		-1.79480-1.74669-1.12676
Alavés
Betis		24.4%
50.4%		25.1%
+230
+144
+235
+135
0
0		-1.16848-1.17697-1.38059
Almería
Granada		24.3%
50.6%		25.0%
+239
+124
+250
+120
1
1		-1.26915-1.25124-1.38438
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.