Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Alavés 		45.8%
27.7%		26.5%
+260
+124

1.44
1.05		2.49
o2-108
u2-110

Real Sociedad
Valencia 		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+200
+178

1.48
1.11		2.59
o1¾-115
u1¾-102

Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-335
+930
-345
+915
0
1		-2.36276-2.35852-2.32760
Valladolid
Villarreal		13.4%
67.3%		19.3%
+1350
-475
+1400
-530
1
5		-0.21905-0.21503-0.39602
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+212
+173
+210
+170
0
0		-1.08895-1.09020-1.35712
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+253
+132
+233
+140
1
1		-1.17866-1.18123-1.22953
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+1200
-435
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.23926-0.24154-0.29296
Leganés
Athletic Club		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+990
-277
+1000
-300
0
0		-1.61934-1.63327-1.32471
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+443
-106
+470
-110
3
0		-1.72350-1.77797-1.65637
Real Madrid
Valladolid		73.1%
9.8%		17.1%
-445
+1275
-450
+1225
3
0		-0.23431-0.24163-0.31357
Espanyol
Sevilla		9.9%
71.8%		18.3%
+415
-130
+435
-135
1
1		-1.31946-1.32950-1.69947
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+305
+101
+320
-105
1
1		-1.30291-1.34838-1.48479
Osasuna
Las Palmas		51.6%
22.9%		25.5%
+219
+142
+200
+150
1
1		-1.21033-1.19696-1.36661
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+165
+225
+165
+205
0
1		-1.20811-1.16398-1.26298
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+250
+132
+245
+130
1
1		-1.18104-1.18866-1.38458
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.4%		11.0%
+1650
-600
+1650
-690
1
4		-0.18903-0.18111-0.16909
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+133
+240
+180
+223
2
1		-0.87187-1.00373-0.90444
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-210
+640
-225
+660
1
1		-1.56413-1.56647-1.63969
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.