Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1200
-420
+1225
-440
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-105
u3-108
o3-105
u3-110
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1800
-600
+1600
-575
3.14
o3¼-105
u3¼-115
o3-130
u3½-135
2nd H
78:00		0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		23.2%
54.3%		22.4%
+520
-142
+475
-145
2
2		-1.32652-1.30295-1.49419
Osasuna
Cadiz		41.0%
32.2%		26.8%
+141
+260
+130
+265
3
2		-0.90426-0.88511-0.89133
Granada
Rayo Vallecano		46.3%
29.4%		24.3%
+290
+115
+290
+110
0
4		-0.79153-0.79078-1.22513
Getafe
Barcelona		14.8%
67.6%		17.6%
+700
-234
+675
-235
1
2		-0.37727-0.40134-0.39202
Real Madrid
Betis		61.3%
20.3%		18.4%
-110
+310
-115
+300
1
0		-0.67047-0.67598-0.48954
Levante
Real Sociedad		26.5%
51.5%		22.0%
+549
-190
+525
-190
0
1		-0.45385-0.46949-0.66359
Sevilla
Elche		61.7%
17.8%		20.5%
-120
+420
-120
+385
1
1		-1.27393-1.25787-1.58411
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.1%
33.6%		26.3%
+230
+140
+220
+135
1
0		-1.21638-1.21244-0.91335
Alavés
Valencia		25.7%
50.7%		23.6%
+495
-130
+500
-145
0
3		-0.57927-0.57176-0.67857
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		32.5%
42.1%		25.4%
+195
+165
+200
+150
0
0		-1.17623-1.19696-1.37137
Sevilla
Getafe		50.4%
24.2%		25.4%
+160
+240
+160
+230
1
0		-0.96532-0.99331-0.68530
Real Madrid
Levante		57.8%
22.3%		20.0%
-165
+460
-165
+400
3
3		-1.50973-1.53030-1.61094
Elche
Atlético Madrid		10.4%
72.9%		16.7%
+1100
-305
+1200
-375
0
1		-0.30165-0.28348-0.31626
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		18.5%
63.1%		18.4%
+715
-220
+675
-225
0
1		-0.40191-0.41768-0.46075
Barcelona
Athletic Club		60.1%
20.1%		19.8%
-125
+359
-130
+340
1
1		-1.39999-1.40870-1.61903
Villarreal
Espanyol		53.7%
24.1%		22.2%
+160
+200
+170
+185
0
0		-1.18440-1.18538-1.50616
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.85690 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.85357 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.83942
0.01748
0.01415

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.