Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+293
-103

1.20
1.36		2.56
o2¾+101
u2¾-120

Games for Mar 19, 2026
Games for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Valencia		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+145
+229
+140
+210
2
1		-0.91569-0.92591-1.13582
Betis
Almería		36.2%
36.1%		27.7%
+159
+196
+145
+195
3
2		-0.97040-0.94505-1.01636
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+1000
-314
+900
-325
0
3		-0.30038-0.31696-0.61304
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		13.3%
67.0%		19.7%
+686
-203
+650
-210
1
0		-2.08594-2.06262-2.01808
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+317
+110
+295
+110
4
3		-1.44231-1.42437-1.22974
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+868
-213
+875
-240
1
1		-1.44945-1.46201-1.63399
Villarreal
Elche		63.4%
15.6%		20.9%
-144
+443
-150
+415
1
3		-1.71535-1.68837-1.85547
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+211
+175
+190
+175
1
1		-1.13032-1.12819-1.24361
Cadiz
Athletic Club		18.9%
56.0%		25.1%
+988
-263
+850
-260
1
4		-0.34713-0.37631-0.58037
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+830
-257
+770
-290
0
2		-0.34820-0.34763-0.35288
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-124
+396
-135
+365
2
1		-0.61367-0.60565-0.31492
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+392
-122
+380
-125
1
0		-1.61541-1.60944-2.14157
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+404
-127
+400
-140
0
0		-1.35580-1.37054-1.48377
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+163
+230
+160
+205
0
1		-1.21039-1.16533-1.16059
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna		68.9%
11.7%		19.4%
+108
+340
+105
+300
1
0		-0.75271-0.76692-0.37285
Valencia
Valladolid		45.1%
27.9%		27.0%
+150
+219
+135
+220
0
1		-1.18189-1.21244-1.27611
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29964 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31364 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36728
-0.06764
-0.05364

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.