Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+293
-103
+295
-108
1.20
1.36		2.56
o2¾+101
u2¾-120
o2½-127
u2½+115
Games for Mar 19, 2026
Games for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+187
+210
+165
+215
1
0		-1.07476-1.02521-1.18862
Elche
Sevilla		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+638
-178
+585
-190
0
3		-0.46533-0.47276-0.28990
Almería
Valencia		24.4%
50.3%		25.2%
+470
-157
+460
-165
2
2		-1.45921-1.43624-1.37729
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+153
+200
+145
+185
2
0		-0.94814-0.94384-0.48056
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1450
-367
+1360
-450
0
1		-0.26292-0.25004-0.28842
Osasuna
Elche		42.9%
29.3%		27.8%
+167
+208
+130
+235
1
1		-1.15296-1.19690-1.28049
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+430
-122
+425
-130
0
1		-0.61454-0.61915-0.30767
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.2%		15.2%
+915
-266
+850
-290
0
3		-0.32956-0.34589-0.24594
Betis
Espanyol		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+191
+183
+175
+170
0
1		-1.06068-1.04344-1.12831
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+174
+200
+160
+200
2
0		-1.02862-1.00550-0.46596
Elche
Cadiz		30.6%
39.0%		30.3%
+365
-102
+350
-110
1
1		-1.23781-1.24181-1.19264
Atlético Madrid
Almería		71.0%
10.3%		18.7%
-130
+414
-135
+390
1
1		-1.36739-1.34592-1.67756
Espanyol
Getafe		23.5%
48.3%		28.1%
+258
+151
+245
+140
2
1		-1.29536-1.28844-1.44660
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.2%		24.3%
+280
+137
+250
+135
1
3		-0.88116-0.90342-0.61288
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid		29.1%
42.8%		28.1%
+175
+190
+160
+185
1
0		-1.02949-1.00239-1.23447
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+173
+190
+170
+180
1
1		-1.19730-1.18026-1.45887
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29964 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31364 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36728
-0.06764
-0.05364

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.