Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1289
-450
+1300
-460
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-102
o3-105
u3-105
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Espanyol		53.7%
24.1%		22.2%
+160
+200
+170
+185
0
0		-1.18440-1.18538-1.50616
Valencia
Granada		34.5%
40.4%		25.0%
+190
+165
+190
+160
1
1		-1.20811-1.18215-1.38498
Cadiz
Betis		27.3%
48.4%		24.3%
+572
-190
+600
-210
1
1		-1.49446-1.51009-1.41568
Athletic Club
Elche		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%
+125
+285
+120
+265
0
0		-1.15782-1.18123-1.32392
Granada
Villarreal		27.3%
50.1%		22.6%
+575
-185
+500
-180
0
0		-1.48802-1.46305-1.48713
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		15.5%
70.0%		14.5%
+885
-215
+825
-235
0
3		-0.38577-0.40115-0.35632
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		23.0%
57.5%		19.6%
+429
-150
+400
-150
2
4		-0.54323-0.55961-0.55410
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo		65.7%
17.2%		17.1%
+115
+342
+125
+285
2
1		-0.74225-0.83734-0.41963
Espanyol
Osasuna		29.2%
44.2%		26.7%
+217
+165
+205
+165
0
0		-1.17276-1.15884-1.32219
Real Madrid
Alavés		69.0%
16.2%		14.8%
-165
+574
-175
+550
4
1		-0.45560-0.48269-0.37160
Levante
Cadiz		44.5%
29.1%		26.4%
+135
+255
+135
+230
1
1		-1.19346-1.18130-1.33082
Getafe
Valencia		30.9%
40.7%		28.3%
+250
+161
+230
+140
0
1		-0.95075-0.92712-0.89811
Alavés
Sevilla		16.1%
68.0%		15.9%
+775
-270
+750
-275
0
1		-0.34657-0.34243-0.38541
Getafe
Granada		31.0%
41.1%		27.9%
+155
+196
+150
+205
0
0		-1.04049-1.05066-1.03074
Athletic Club
Elche		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%
+266
+105
+260
+100
0
2		-0.75224-0.74360-1.27354
Atlético Madrid
Valladolid		68.5%
15.4%		16.2%
-295
+942
-350
+850
2
1		-0.30848-0.29982-0.37901
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.