Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 15, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Betis
Rayo Vallecano 		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+181
+152

1.41
1.13		2.54
o2½-105
u2½-115

Games for Dec 14, 2025
Games for Dec 16, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+1000
-365
+900
-350
2
0		-2.43190-2.33966-2.49411
Sevilla
Valencia		53.3%
21.9%		24.9%
+312
-101
+295
+100
1
1		-1.27282-1.29091-1.39191
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+156
+200
+165
+185
0
1		-1.12979-1.09297-1.91501
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-113
+295
-120
+280
5
3		-0.66404-0.64544-0.31492
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+193
+177
+185
+177
0
1		-1.05386-1.06308-1.76014
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+530
-155
+527
-155
0
2		-0.53193-0.53476-0.56256
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
-121
+350
-125
+340
3
0		-0.63609-0.62008-0.48056
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona		30.0%
41.6%		28.4%
+355
-144
+364
-145
1
3		-0.56143-0.56108-0.87616
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+295
+111
+300
+110
1
1		-1.21716-1.22271-1.36039
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		28.2%
43.8%		27.9%
+345
-110
+311
+100
1
0		-1.52818-1.44202-1.26556
Betis
Sevilla		13.3%
67.4%		19.2%
+178
+170
+155
+185
2
0		-1.05682-0.98377-2.01463
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+154
+190
+160
+185
3
2		-0.96598-0.98136-1.12676
Athletic Club
Levante		33.2%
39.1%		27.7%
+106
+290
+115
+310
2
0		-0.75805-0.76434-1.10322
Alavés
Barcelona		5.6%
82.2%		12.2%
+1025
-387
+1075
-450
1
3		-0.26386-0.25084-0.19620
Elche
Getafe		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+298
+127
+290
+135
0
1		-0.85008-0.87512-0.64095
Sevilla
Espanyol		65.1%
13.6%		21.4%
+350
-122
+350
-115
1
2		-0.63299-0.65631-1.99775
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.43190 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.33966 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.49411
-0.06221
-0.15445

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.