UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 9, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez 		84.6%
15.4%
+270
-330
+270
-320
Priscila Cachoeira
Joselyne Edwards 		50.0%
50.0%
+260
-285
+250
-300
Fights for Aug 8, 2025
Fights for Aug 16, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joaquin Buckley
Alex Morono		29.0%
71.0%
-170
+167
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46678-0.47276-1.23929
Rick Glenn
Drew Dober		26.9%
73.1%
+350
-375
+300
-350
Loss
Win		-0.24801-0.27871-0.31315
Alexander Hernandez
Bill Algeo		75.4%
24.6%
-115
+102
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.73260-0.71668-1.40116
Diana Belbita
Karolina Kowalkiewicz		50.0%
50.0%
+130
-130
+117
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57054-0.58900-0.69315
Vanessa Demopoulos
Kanako Murata		50.0%
50.0%
+329
-350
+350
-380
Win
Loss		-1.46711-1.51786-0.69315
Dan Ige
Bryce Mitchell		53.3%
46.7%
+178
-207
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.42754-0.42889-0.76224
Michelle Waterson
Marina Rodriguez		44.5%
55.5%
+350
-383
+340
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24705-0.25496-0.58848
Charles Jourdain
Ricardo Ramos		31.1%
68.9%
-140
+131
-135
+131
Win
Loss		-0.55511-0.56165-1.16780
Hannah Goldy
Inoue Mizuki		50.0%
50.0%
+275
-325
+280
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29916-0.29484-0.69315
Alexa Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko		7.3%
92.7%
+145
-158
+150
-160
Draw
Draw		-0.71358-0.71617-1.34946
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Tracy Cortez		50.0%
50.0%
+105
-120
+115
-128
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.60349-0.69315
Tai Tuivasa
Alexander Volkov		26.3%
73.7%
+185
-210
+205
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.39473-0.30533
Rose Namajunas
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+165
-182
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46040-0.46185-0.69315
Chan Sung Jung
Max Holloway		31.9%
68.1%
+525
-700
+525
-580
Loss
Win		-0.16793-0.17193-0.38415
Alex Caceres
Giga Chikadze		25.1%
74.9%
+210
-250
+215
-250
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.36772-0.28859
Sean O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling		38.6%
61.4%
+212
-250
+225
-225
Win
Loss		-1.17205-1.17866-0.95257
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.