UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 15, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus 		76.1%
23.9%
+420
-525
+400
-500
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield 		50.0%
50.0%
+220
-250
+230
-250
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili 		40.1%
59.9%
-138
+120
-135
+125
Fights for Nov 14, 2025
Fights for Nov 22, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alex Caceres
Giga Chikadze		25.1%
74.9%
+210
-250
+215
-250
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.36772-0.28859
Sean O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling		38.6%
61.4%
+212
-250
+225
-225
Win
Loss		-1.17205-1.17866-0.95257
Amanda Lemos
Zhang Weili		50.0%
50.0%
+275
-330
+280
-310
Loss
Win		-0.29823-0.29866-0.69315
Pedro Munhoz
Marlon Vera		78.5%
21.5%
+160
-170
+158
-165
Loss
Win		-0.47678-0.48397-1.53912
Chris Weidman
Brad Tavares		41.5%
58.5%
+185
-206
+200
-195
Loss
Win		-0.41951-0.40830-0.53686
Andrea Lee
Natalia Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+290
-350
+292
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28493-0.29278-0.69315
Vicente Luque
Rafael Dos Anjos		58.8%
41.2%
+105
-118
+105
-125
Win
Loss		-0.74651-0.76029-0.53062
Cub Swanson
Hakeem Dawodu		67.9%
32.1%
+250
-300
+260
-280
Win
Loss		-1.28786-1.29543-0.38668
Chris Daukaus
Khalil Rountree Jr.		41.7%
58.3%
+136
-156
+147
-158
Loss
Win		-0.52789-0.50748-0.54024
Montserrat Conejo
Jaqueline Amorim		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-235
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.38349-0.37449-0.69315
Rob Font
Cory Sandhagen		41.4%
58.6%
+315
-405
+325
-360
Loss
Win		-0.26272-0.26286-0.53413
Jessica Andrade
Tatiana Suarez		14.5%
85.5%
+300
-355
+300
-355
Loss
Win		-0.27796-0.27796-0.15630
Aleksa Camur
Tanner Boser		64.1%
35.9%
+112
-124
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.61632-0.60042-1.02513
Justin Gaethje
Dustin Poirier		46.2%
53.8%
+134
-150
+140
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87714-0.88394-0.77117
Tony Ferguson
Bobby Green		77.4%
22.6%
+285
-340
+315
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28978-0.27143-1.48713
Michael Chiesa
Kevin Holland		63.5%
36.5%
+125
-130
+126
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58016-0.57111-1.00690
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-1.00663 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-1.03022 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.20229
0.80434
0.82793

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.