UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-130
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chris Weidman
Brad Tavares		41.5%
58.5%
+185
-206
+200
-195
Loss
Win		-0.41951-0.40830-0.53686
Andrea Lee
Natalia Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+290
-350
+292
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28493-0.29278-0.69315
Vicente Luque
Rafael Dos Anjos		58.8%
41.2%
+105
-118
+105
-125
Win
Loss		-0.74651-0.76029-0.53062
Cub Swanson
Hakeem Dawodu		67.9%
32.1%
+250
-300
+260
-280
Win
Loss		-1.28786-1.29543-0.38668
Chris Daukaus
Khalil Rountree Jr.		41.7%
58.3%
+136
-156
+147
-158
Loss
Win		-0.52789-0.50748-0.54024
Montserrat Conejo
Jaqueline Amorim		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-235
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.38349-0.37449-0.69315
Rob Font
Cory Sandhagen		41.4%
58.6%
+315
-405
+325
-360
Loss
Win		-0.26272-0.26286-0.53413
Jessica Andrade
Tatiana Suarez		14.5%
85.5%
+300
-355
+300
-355
Loss
Win		-0.27796-0.27796-0.15630
Aleksa Camur
Tanner Boser		64.1%
35.9%
+112
-124
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.61632-0.60042-1.02513
Justin Gaethje
Dustin Poirier		46.2%
53.8%
+134
-150
+140
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87714-0.88394-0.77117
Tony Ferguson
Bobby Green		77.4%
22.6%
+285
-340
+315
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28978-0.27143-1.48713
Michael Chiesa
Kevin Holland		63.5%
36.5%
+125
-130
+126
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58016-0.57111-1.00690
Priscila Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick		50.0%
50.0%
+240
-280
+222
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33588-0.35768-0.69315
Marcin Tybura
Tom Aspinall		42.0%
58.0%
+375
-475
+385
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22701-0.22474-0.54438
Julija Stoliarenko
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
+170
-200
+185
-190
Win
Loss		-1.02963-1.05334-0.69315
Andre Fili
Nathaniel Wood		38.7%
61.3%
+190
-205
+180
-195
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.43197-0.48941
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.22396 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.20929 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.36924
-0.14528
-0.15995

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.