UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-130
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pannie Kianzad
Ketlen Vieira		30.5%
69.5%
+140
-155
+147
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.51567-0.36335
Mayra Bueno Silva
Holly Holm		35.0%
65.0%
+145
-160
+158
-160
Win
Loss		-0.91937-0.95075-1.04948
Alexandre Pantoja
Brandon Moreno		48.5%
51.5%
+191
-200
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-1.07843-1.04185-0.72268
Dan Hooker
Jalin Turner		84.1%
15.9%
+245
-285
+260
-270
Win
Loss		-1.26805-1.28841-0.17304
Robbie Lawler
Niko Price		29.5%
70.5%
+182
-207
+180
-195
Win
Loss		-1.06520-1.04762-1.22203
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield		66.7%
33.3%
-147
+132
-145
+133
Loss
Win		-0.86741-0.86669-1.09979
Ariane Lipski
Melissa Gatto		50.0%
50.0%
+210
-235
+205
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15518-1.13968-0.69315
Blagoy Ivanov
Alexandr Romanov		74.2%
25.8%
+121
-141
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57290-0.56352-1.35375
Maycee Barber
Amanda Ribas		34.9%
65.1%
+170
-178
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-1.00387-1.01255-1.05200
Bruno Silva
Brendan Allen		4.5%
95.5%
+195
-225
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39854-0.40084-0.04637
Wellington Turman
Randy Brown		44.4%
55.6%
+225
-255
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35652-0.37637-0.58767
Gillian Robertson
Tabatha Ricci		50.0%
50.0%
+110
-117
+110
-109
Loss
Win		-0.63297-0.64871-0.69315
Marvin Vettori
Jared Cannonier		60.8%
39.2%
-129
+115
-130
+120
Loss
Win		-0.79350-0.80802-0.93769
Irene Aldana
Amanda Nunes		12.4%
87.6%
+260
-290
+275
-315
Loss
Win		-0.31741-0.30109-0.13257
Beneil Dariush
Charles Oliveira		47.4%
52.6%
-145
+140
-155
+140
Loss
Win		-0.88394-0.89968-0.64217
Eryk Anders
Marc-Andre Barriault		63.8%
36.2%
+125
-140
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.55080-1.01733
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.22396 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.20929 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.36924
-0.14528
-0.15995

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.