UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 16, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Diego Ferreira
Bobby Green
77.5%
22.5%
-146
+127
-155
+140
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk
54.9%
45.1%
+195
-220
+195
-225
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez
23.5%
76.5%
-300
+255
-280
+270
Volatility Bet Value Active
Fights for Aug 15, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic
10.3%
89.7%
+190
-200
+195
-210
Loss
Win
-0.41690-0.40573-0.10889
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield
67.2%
32.8%
+180
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win
-0.43510-0.44150-1.11492
Francisco Trinaldo
Randy Brown
50.1%
49.9%
+300
-320
+280
-320
Loss
Win
-0.28377-0.29670-0.69509
Trevin Jones
Raoni Barcelos
5.2%
94.8%
+225
-250
+215
-240
Loss
Win
-0.35820-0.37138-0.05352
Aleksei Oleinik
Ilir Latifi
54.5%
45.5%
+180
-210
+175
-200
Loss
Win
-0.42344-0.43532-0.78735
Krzysztof Jotko
Brendan Allen
26.9%
73.1%
-105
+100
-115
+110
Loss
Win
-0.70528-0.75294-0.31372
Guido Cannetti
Randy Costa
61.8%
38.2%
+250
-275
+250
-270
Win
Loss
-1.27165-1.26808-0.48046
Andre Fili
Bill Algeo
74.0%
26.0%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Win
Loss
-0.60042-0.61112-0.30083
Marc-Andre Barriault
Anthony Hernandez
36.7%
63.3%
+185
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win
-0.41737-0.41146-0.45714
Gillian Robertson
Mariya Agapova
50.0%
50.0%
-145
+135
-140
+125
Win
Loss
-0.54173-0.56639-0.69315
Tony Ferguson
Nate Diaz
73.4%
26.6%
-140
+140
-145
+140
Loss
Win
-0.87546-0.88394-1.32366
Kevin Holland
Khamzat Chimaev
22.1%
77.9%
+475
-620
+500
-555
Loss
Win
-0.18396-0.17957-0.25000
Macy Chiasson
Irene Aldana
39.6%
60.4%
+152
-172
+165
-175
Loss
Win
-0.48708-0.46561-0.50382
Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba
60.2%
39.8%
+158
-180
+175
-180
Win
Loss
-0.97779-1.01807-0.50786
Julian Erosa
Hakeem Dawodu
78.4%
21.6%
+185
-210
+190
-210
Win
Loss
-1.07523-1.08672-0.24389
Marvin Vettori
Robert Whittaker
38.2%
61.8%
+178
-200
+180
-210
Loss
Win
-0.43149-0.42344-0.48190
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.26234 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.26594 
DRatings20-1 (0.250)1-1.28042
-1.01808
-1.01448

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.