UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 16, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez 		23.5%
76.5%
-320
+285
-300
+300
Volatility Bet Value Active
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk 		54.9%
45.1%
+180
-191
+180
-210
Fights for Aug 15, 2025
Fights for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nathaniel Wood
Charles Jourdain		76.5%
23.5%
+130
-141
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.85257-0.85085-0.26768
John Makdessi
Nasrat Haqparast		53.9%
46.1%
+230
-260
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35037-0.35955-0.77457
Leon Edwards
Kamaru Usman		30.0%
70.0%
+300
-355
+320
-340
Win
Loss		-1.41605-1.44583-1.20391
Luke Rockhold
Paulo Costa		15.2%
84.8%
+290
-350
+310
-315
Loss
Win		-0.28493-0.27864-0.16476
Merab Dvalishvili
Jose Aldo		30.6%
69.4%
-145
+145
-145
+140
Win
Loss		-0.52452-0.53299-1.18515
Wu Yanan
Lucie Pudilova		50.0%
50.0%
+132
-145
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54713-0.54173-0.69315
Leonardo Santos
Jared Gordon		90.3%
9.7%
+225
-265
+235
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35332-0.34595-2.33583
Dominick Cruz
Marlon Vera		71.1%
28.9%
+180
-200
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.42898-0.40323-1.24164
Priscila Cachoeira
Ariane Lipski		50.0%
50.0%
+165
-185
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-1.00068-1.01255-0.69315
Gerald Meerschaert
Bruno Silva		91.6%
8.4%
+250
-280
+255
-300
Win
Loss		-1.27508-1.29814-0.08784
Angela Hill
Loopy Godinez		50.0%
50.0%
+260
-300
+275
-290
Win
Loss		-1.30833-1.33196-0.69315
Nina Nunes
Cynthia Calvillo		50.0%
50.0%
+150
-165
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.93869-0.91198-0.69315
Thiago Santos
Jamahal Hill		37.0%
63.0%
+285
-315
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29430-0.29335-0.46148
Geoff Neal
Vicente Luque		71.2%
28.8%
+180
-190
+180
-188
Win
Loss		-1.04185-1.03950-0.33905
Sam Alvey
Michal Oleksiejczuk		44.4%
55.6%
+500
-600
+500
-650
Loss
Win		-0.17768-0.17589-0.58652
Miranda Granger
Cory McKenna		50.0%
50.0%
+169
-185
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.45279-0.45144-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.26234 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.26594 
DRatings20-1 (0.250)1-1.28042
-1.01808
-1.01448

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.