UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-130
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Erin Blanchfield
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
-270
+318
-385
+330
Win
Loss		-0.28354-0.25693-0.69315
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Silvana Gomez Juarez		50.0%
50.0%
+100
-110
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71668-0.71668-0.69315
Julio Arce
Montel Jackson		47.8%
52.2%
+170
-200
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.42898-0.65045
Amanda Lemos
Marina Rodriguez		50.0%
50.0%
+222
-210
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.15728-1.18136-0.69315
Daniel Rodriguez
Neil Magny		67.3%
32.7%
-103
-105
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.68844-0.64814-1.11673
Benito Lopez
Mario Bautista		26.8%
73.2%
+358
-245
+345
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26809-0.24756-0.31139
Jinh Yu Frey
Polyana Viana		50.0%
50.0%
+125
-110
+125
-145
Loss
Win		-0.61435-0.56016-0.69315
Charles Oliveira
Islam Makhachev		56.9%
43.1%
+170
-170
+180
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46262-0.44183-0.84128
TJ Dillashaw
Aljamain Sterling		44.2%
55.8%
+165
-155
+160
-160
Loss
Win		-0.48293-0.48552-0.58395
Sean O'Malley
Petr Yan		20.3%
79.7%
+245
-250
+245
-260
Win
Loss		-1.24251-1.25037-1.59406
Katlyn Chookagian
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+200
-195
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40830-0.40573-0.69315
Volkan Oezdemir
Nikita Krylov		58.1%
41.9%
+165
-180
+180
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46185-0.44547-0.87105
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic		10.3%
89.7%
+190
-200
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41690-0.40573-0.10889
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield		67.2%
32.8%
+180
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.43510-0.44150-1.11492
Francisco Trinaldo
Randy Brown		50.1%
49.9%
+300
-320
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28377-0.29670-0.69509
Trevin Jones
Raoni Barcelos		5.2%
94.8%
+225
-250
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35820-0.37138-0.05352
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.