UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-130
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aleksei Oleinik
Ilir Latifi		54.5%
45.5%
+180
-210
+175
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42344-0.43532-0.78735
Krzysztof Jotko
Brendan Allen		26.9%
73.1%
-105
+100
-115
+110
Loss
Win		-0.70528-0.75294-0.31372
Guido Cannetti
Randy Costa		61.8%
38.2%
+250
-275
+250
-270
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26808-0.48046
Andre Fili
Bill Algeo		74.0%
26.0%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Win
Loss		-0.60042-0.61112-0.30083
Marc-Andre Barriault
Anthony Hernandez		36.7%
63.3%
+185
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.41146-0.45714
Gillian Robertson
Mariya Agapova		50.0%
50.0%
-145
+135
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.54173-0.56639-0.69315
Tony Ferguson
Nate Diaz		73.4%
26.6%
-140
+140
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.87546-0.88394-1.32366
Kevin Holland
Khamzat Chimaev		22.1%
77.9%
+475
-620
+500
-555
Loss
Win		-0.18396-0.17957-0.25000
Macy Chiasson
Irene Aldana		39.6%
60.4%
+152
-172
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48708-0.46561-0.50382
Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba		60.2%
39.8%
+158
-180
+175
-180
Win
Loss		-0.97779-1.01807-0.50786
Julian Erosa
Hakeem Dawodu		78.4%
21.6%
+185
-210
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.07523-1.08672-0.24389
Marvin Vettori
Robert Whittaker		38.2%
61.8%
+178
-200
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43149-0.42344-0.48190
Nathaniel Wood
Charles Jourdain		76.5%
23.5%
+130
-141
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.85257-0.85085-0.26768
John Makdessi
Nasrat Haqparast		53.9%
46.1%
+230
-260
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35037-0.35955-0.77457
Leon Edwards
Kamaru Usman		30.0%
70.0%
+300
-355
+320
-340
Win
Loss		-1.41605-1.44583-1.20391
Luke Rockhold
Paulo Costa		15.2%
84.8%
+290
-350
+310
-315
Loss
Win		-0.28493-0.27864-0.16476
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.