UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 23, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brian Ortega
Aljamain Sterling 		44.8%
55.2%
+255
-300
+265
-285
Fights for Aug 22, 2025
Fights for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marc-Andre Barriault
Jordan Wright		44.7%
55.3%
-200
+182
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42652-0.42898-0.80486
Dwight Grant
Sergey Khandozhko		71.9%
28.1%
+115
-115
+113
-115
Loss
Win		-0.62571-0.63006-1.27033
Belal Muhammad
Vicente Luque		41.4%
58.6%
+170
-170
+160
-170
Win
Loss		-0.99325-0.96964-0.88269
Wu Yanan
Mayra Bueno Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+525
-500
+400
-500
Loss
Win		-0.17563-0.21511-0.69315
Lina Lansberg
Pannie Kianzad		58.8%
41.2%
+535
-500
+430
-450
Loss
Win		-0.17309-0.20750-0.88649
Sam Hughes
Istela Nunes		50.0%
50.0%
+220
-215
+208
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15817-1.14633-0.69315
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan		28.9%
71.1%
+350
-400
+365
-400
Win
Loss		-1.52606-1.55183-1.24244
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev		44.0%
56.0%
+435
-500
+475
-535
Loss
Win		-0.20237-0.18766-0.57941
Tecia Torres
Mackenzie Dern		78.4%
21.6%
+115
-117
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.62200-0.67015-1.53114
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington		64.9%
35.1%
+150
-145
+140
-152
Loss
Win		-0.51632-0.52520-1.04674
Chris Daukaus
Curtis Blaydes		8.9%
91.1%
+425
-550
+475
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20303-0.18692-0.09299
Joanne Calderwood
Alexa Grasso		39.4%
60.6%
+250
-280
+245
-250
Loss
Win		-0.32768-0.34060-0.50109
Bryan Barberena
Matt Brown		57.5%
42.5%
-105
-102
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.68605-0.67015-0.55283
Max Griffin
Neil Magny		29.9%
70.1%
+215
-250
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.35037-0.35476
Jennifer Maia
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+390
-470
+380
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22115-0.22684-0.69315
Tom Aspinall
Alexander Volkov		36.4%
63.6%
-120
+120
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60614-0.58291-1.01159
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.92228 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.94406 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.53170
0.39058
0.41237

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.