UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Zhang Weili		15.5%
84.5%
+150
-155
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.51371-0.16895
Silvana Gomez Juarez
Na Liang		50.0%
50.0%
+110
-120
+100
-118
Win
Loss		-0.76336-0.73359-0.69315
Ramona Pascual
Joselyne Edwards		50.0%
50.0%
+142
-157
+150
-160
Loss
Win		-0.51666-0.50078-0.69315
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Alexander Volkov		68.0%
32.0%
+152
-172
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.48708-0.46959-1.14087
Dan Ige
Movsar Evloev		42.2%
57.8%
+390
-400
+340
-400
Loss
Win		-0.22721-0.25005-0.54837
Felice Herrig
Karolina Kowalkiewicz		60.5%
39.5%
-112
-104
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.71113-0.72743-0.92806
Ketlen Vieira
Holly Holm		34.4%
65.6%
+210
-220
+205
-220
Win
Loss		-1.14144-1.13038-1.06598
Michel Pereira
Santiago Ponzinibbio		14.9%
85.1%
-140
+125
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56639-0.57304-1.90408
Polyana Viana
Tabatha Ricci		50.0%
50.0%
+110
-128
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.61423-0.60042-0.69315
Felipe Colares
Chase Hooper		37.9%
62.1%
-180
+160
-180
+170
Loss
Win		-0.98262-1.00641-0.47593
Sam Hughes
Elise Reed		50.0%
50.0%
+125
-136
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.83144-0.84211-0.69315
Jan Blachowicz
Aleksandar Rakic		38.7%
61.3%
+175
-200
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.04146-1.08672-0.94827
Louis Smolka
Davey Grant		72.8%
27.2%
+265
-275
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31743-0.32375-1.30151
Amanda Ribas
Katlyn Chookagian		60.6%
39.4%
+165
-185
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.46185-0.93072
Angela Hill
Virna Jandiroba		79.6%
20.4%
+180
-210
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.42344-0.40084-1.58875
Justin Gaethje
Charles Oliveira		66.9%
33.1%
+125
-140
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.56352-1.10485
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.