UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-168
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rick Glenn
Grant Dawson		10.7%
89.3%
+390
-500
+400
-450
Draw
Draw		-0.92251-0.92307-1.17306
Joselyne Edwards
Jessica-Rose Clark		50.0%
50.0%
+140
-145
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53299-0.54173-0.69315
Francisco Trinaldo
Dwight Grant		56.5%
43.5%
-130
+115
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.60042-0.62755-0.57141
Randa Markos
Livinha Souza		50.0%
50.0%
+110
-115
+115
-120
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.77596-0.69315
Norma Dumont
Aspen Ladd		3.2%
96.8%
+122
-125
+122
-130
Win
Loss		-0.80350-0.81306-3.43176
Carlos Felipe
Andrei Arlovski		72.6%
27.4%
-110
+108
-115
+102
Loss
Win		-0.73693-0.73260-1.29583
Mayra Bueno Silva
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+280
-310
+275
-290
Loss
Win		-0.29866-0.30647-0.69315
Andrew Sanchez
Bruno Silva		87.5%
12.5%
+137
-155
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52719-0.51371-2.07984
Luana Carolina
Loopy Godinez		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-220
+190
-217
Win
Loss		-1.13038-1.09365-0.69315
Marina Rodriguez
Mackenzie Dern		81.1%
18.9%
+185
-195
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.05915-1.05317-0.20987
Sabina Mazo
Mariya Agapova		50.0%
50.0%
-200
+190
-200
+180
Loss
Win		-1.07614-1.05317-0.69315
Felipe Colares
Chris Gutierrez		10.1%
89.9%
+245
-275
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33308-0.35037-0.10661
Johnny Walker
Thiago Santos		49.2%
50.8%
+125
-145
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56016-0.55431-0.67747
Niko Price
Alex Oliveira		68.0%
32.0%
-200
+190
-195
+175
Win
Loss		-0.41690-0.43833-0.38502
Misha Cirkunov
Krzysztof Jotko		70.8%
29.2%
+100
-116
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.65805-0.61904-1.23179
Antonina Shevchenko
Casey O'Neill		50.0%
50.0%
+235
-220
+230
-230
Loss
Win		-0.36061-0.36101-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.