UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mauricio Rua
Ovince Saint Preux		41.6%
58.4%
+220
-225
+205
-230
Loss
Win		-0.37251-0.38554-0.53770
Danny Roberts
Francisco Trinaldo		28.2%
71.8%
-115
+126
-115
+115
Loss
Win		-0.79246-0.76546-0.33097
Macy Chiasson
Norma Dumont		87.8%
12.2%
+190
-210
+195
-215
Win
Loss		-1.08672-1.10310-0.12988
Melissa Gatto
Tracy Cortez		50.0%
50.0%
+100
-115
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.66000-0.63885-0.69315
Marlon Vera
Rob Font		30.7%
69.3%
-110
+100
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67015-0.68116-1.18084
Jake Collier
Andrei Arlovski		52.6%
47.4%
+115
-108
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63963-0.62755-0.74756
Jared Gordon
Grant Dawson		16.4%
83.6%
+195
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40084-0.41146-0.17970
Krzysztof Jotko
Gerald Meerschaert		41.6%
58.4%
-210
+190
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41146-0.41110-0.87659
Amanda Lemos
Jessica Andrade		50.0%
50.0%
+230
-255
+235
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35197-0.35270-0.69315
Montana De La Rosa
Maycee Barber		17.4%
82.6%
+160
-177
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47120-0.47276-0.19077
Marc-Andre Barriault
Jordan Wright		44.7%
55.3%
-200
+182
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42652-0.42898-0.80486
Dwight Grant
Sergey Khandozhko		71.9%
28.1%
+115
-115
+113
-115
Loss
Win		-0.62571-0.63006-1.27033
Belal Muhammad
Vicente Luque		41.4%
58.6%
+170
-170
+160
-170
Win
Loss		-0.99325-0.96964-0.88269
Wu Yanan
Mayra Bueno Silva		50.0%
50.0%
+525
-500
+400
-500
Loss
Win		-0.17563-0.21511-0.69315
Lina Lansberg
Pannie Kianzad		58.8%
41.2%
+535
-500
+430
-450
Loss
Win		-0.17309-0.20750-0.88649
Sam Hughes
Istela Nunes		50.0%
50.0%
+220
-215
+208
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15817-1.14633-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.