UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan		28.9%
71.1%
+350
-400
+365
-400
Win
Loss		-1.52606-1.55183-1.24244
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev		44.0%
56.0%
+435
-500
+475
-535
Loss
Win		-0.20237-0.18766-0.57941
Tecia Torres
Mackenzie Dern		78.4%
21.6%
+115
-117
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.62200-0.67015-1.53114
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington		64.9%
35.1%
+150
-145
+140
-152
Loss
Win		-0.51632-0.52520-1.04674
Chris Daukaus
Curtis Blaydes		8.9%
91.1%
+425
-550
+475
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20303-0.18692-0.09299
Joanne Calderwood
Alexa Grasso		39.4%
60.6%
+250
-280
+245
-250
Loss
Win		-0.32768-0.34060-0.50109
Bryan Barberena
Matt Brown		57.5%
42.5%
-105
-102
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.68605-0.67015-0.55283
Max Griffin
Neil Magny		29.9%
70.1%
+215
-250
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.35037-0.35476
Jennifer Maia
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+390
-470
+380
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22115-0.22684-0.69315
Tom Aspinall
Alexander Volkov		36.4%
63.6%
-120
+120
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60614-0.58291-1.01159
Dan Hooker
Arnold Allen		34.2%
65.8%
+100
-105
-105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68116-0.69315-0.41926
Luana Carolina
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
+127
-140
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56258-0.57304-0.69315
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Sergei Pavlovich		37.1%
62.9%
+300
-335
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28113-0.29008-0.46397
Paul Craig
Nikita Krylov		30.4%
69.6%
+191
-215
+182
-200
Win
Loss		-1.09401-1.05780-1.19135
Elise Reed
Cory McKenna		50.0%
50.0%
+285
-320
+280
-300
Win
Loss		-1.36948-1.34807-0.69315
Thiago Santos
Magomed Ankalaev		53.2%
46.8%
+650
-700
+600
-650
Loss
Win		-0.14183-0.15258-0.75935
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.