UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alex Caceres
Sodiq Yusuff		11.1%
88.9%
+250
-275
+250
-265
Loss
Win		-0.32902-0.33183-0.11723
Karl Roberson
Khalil Rountree Jr.		61.7%
38.3%
-145
+132
-135
+130
Loss
Win		-0.86420-0.84211-0.95982
Jorge Masvidal
Colby Covington		49.8%
50.2%
+265
-300
+280
-290
Loss
Win		-0.31137-0.30300-0.68995
Renato Moicano
Rafael Dos Anjos		50.4%
49.6%
+170
-178
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45643-0.45497-0.70199
Edson Barboza
Bryce Mitchell		50.2%
49.8%
+153
-172
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48555-0.48102-0.69699
Alex Oliveira
Kevin Holland		48.6%
51.4%
+485
-450
+400
-410
Loss
Win		-0.18973-0.22217-0.66472
Maryna Moroz
Mariya Agapova		50.0%
50.0%
+160
-170
+155
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96964-0.95763-0.69315
Bobby Green
Islam Makhachev		43.4%
56.6%
+700
-800
+650
-800
Loss
Win		-0.13158-0.13976-0.56888
Wellington Turman
Misha Cirkunov		40.0%
60.0%
+145
-145
+141
-150
Win
Loss		-0.89610-0.89446-0.91572
Priscila Cachoeira
Ji Yeon Kim		50.0%
50.0%
+165
-172
+160
-155
Win
Loss		-0.98422-0.94794-0.69315
Joel Alvarez
Arman Tsarukyan		61.8%
38.2%
+265
-290
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31367-0.32375-0.96210
Ramona Pascual
Josiane Nunes		50.0%
50.0%
+235
-265
+255
-270
Loss
Win		-0.34441-0.32644-0.69315
Johnny Walker
Jamahal Hill		36.2%
63.8%
+220
-200
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.38441-0.40015-0.44992
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Joaquin Buckley		85.7%
14.3%
+137
-150
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53253-0.53604-1.94526
Stephanie Egger
Jessica-Rose Clark		50.0%
50.0%
+167
-190
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-1.01134-0.97625-0.69315
Mark Striegl
Chas Skelly		37.3%
62.7%
+183
-210
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41978-0.42898-0.46673
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.