UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jennifer Maia
Katlyn Chookagian		31.3%
68.7%
+205
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.38995-0.41146-0.37481
Ramiz Brahimaj
Court McGee		47.7%
52.3%
-113
+115
-125
+115
Loss
Win		-0.76108-0.78592-0.64754
Derrick Lewis
Chris Daukaus		78.1%
21.9%
+110
-125
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.77319-0.82968-0.24762
Belal Muhammad
Stephen Thompson		51.7%
48.3%
+200
-230
+195
-210
Win
Loss		-1.12846-1.09808-0.65900
Angela Hill
Amanda Lemos		50.0%
50.0%
+240
-300
+250
-270
Loss
Win		-0.33085-0.33041-0.69315
Raphael Assuncao
Ricky Simon		51.2%
48.8%
+275
-315
+275
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30109-0.30422-0.71830
Darren Elkins
Cub Swanson		41.7%
58.3%
+149
-170
+150
-157
Loss
Win		-0.49338-0.50367-0.53945
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto		50.0%
50.0%
-160
+140
-155
+145
Loss
Win		-0.90701-0.91198-0.69315
Andre Ewell
Charles Jourdain		42.3%
57.7%
+197
-232
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39328-0.40651-0.55016
Macy Chiasson
Raquel Pennington		30.8%
69.2%
+118
-135
+120
-130
Loss
Win		-0.58695-0.59012-0.36826
Charles Oliveira
Dustin Poirier		29.9%
70.1%
+107
-126
+125
-130
Win
Loss		-0.76735-0.82055-1.20791
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes		30.9%
69.1%
+675
-1010
+850
-900
Win
Loss		-2.08594-2.25656-1.17406
Geoff Neal
Santiago Ponzinibbio		73.4%
26.6%
-105
-110
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.70441-0.77319-0.30911
Kai Kara-France
Cody Garbrandt		31.5%
68.5%
+123
-141
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.83494-0.82968-1.15515
Raulian Paiva
Sean O'Malley		12.4%
87.6%
+270
-315
+280
-295
Loss
Win		-0.30458-0.30185-0.13294
Dan Ige
Josh Emmett		41.5%
58.5%
+115
-130
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.60825-0.53587
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.