UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chan Sung Jung
Dan Ige		63.9%
36.1%
+130
-145
+145
-150
Win
Loss		-0.85918-0.90421-0.44710
Davey Grant
Marlon Vera		16.3%
83.7%
+180
-209
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42398-0.41737-0.17745
Wellington Turman
Bruno Silva		92.6%
7.4%
+110
-124
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.62070-0.60042-2.60843
Matt Brown
Dhiego Lima		64.1%
35.9%
+175
-195
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.03595-0.99997-0.44409
Nicolae Negumereanu
Aleksa Camur		4.5%
95.5%
+205
-240
+210
-245
Win
Loss		-1.14832-1.16360-3.09533
Kanako Murata
Virna Jandiroba		50.0%
50.0%
+116
-135
+120
-125
Loss
Win		-0.59106-0.59784-0.69315
Casey O'Neill
Lara Procopio		50.0%
50.0%
+147
-170
+148
-155
Win
Loss		-0.93813-0.91925-0.69315
Marvin Vettori
Israel Adesanya		15.9%
84.1%
+220
-236
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36805-0.38472-0.17300
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo		26.2%
73.8%
+165
-190
+160
-180
Win
Loss		-1.00657-0.98262-1.34075
Nate Diaz
Leon Edwards		18.8%
81.2%
+385
-500
+375
-420
Loss
Win		-0.22108-0.23163-0.20874
Demian Maia
Belal Muhammad		44.7%
55.3%
+204
-205
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.39839-0.41737-0.59185
Paul Craig
Jamahal Hill		19.6%
80.4%
+210
-250
+220
-260
Win
Loss		-1.16761-1.19730-1.62826
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart		62.7%
37.3%
-145
+126
-140
+128
Win
Loss		-0.55827-0.56070-0.46662
Joanne Calderwood
Lauren Murphy		47.3%
52.7%
-135
+115
-126
+120
Loss
Win		-0.80428-0.80044-0.64084
Hakeem Dawodu
Movsar Evloev		22.2%
77.8%
+200
-228
+200
-218
Loss
Win		-0.39172-0.39625-0.25093
Alexis Davis
Pannie Kianzad		51.9%
48.1%
+227
-240
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35994-0.36652-0.73114
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.