UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pedro Munhoz
Dominick Cruz		59.8%
40.2%
-110
-110
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.68201-0.91115
Augusto Sakai
Tai Tuivasa		82.8%
17.2%
+115
-125
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.60825-0.60825-1.75991
Jordan Wright
Bruno Silva		83.2%
16.8%
+256
-306
+260
-310
Loss
Win		-0.31678-0.31290-1.78248
Miranda Maverick
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
-135
+120
-135
+130
Loss
Win		-0.81706-0.84211-0.69315
Tony Kelley
Randy Costa		69.8%
30.2%
+180
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss		-1.05317-1.03586-0.35929
Priscila Cachoeira
Gillian Robertson		50.0%
50.0%
+270
-330
+290
-280
Loss
Win		-0.30171-0.29861-0.69315
Jose Aldo
Rob Font		59.6%
40.4%
+105
-125
+115
-128
Win
Loss		-0.76029-0.79164-0.51777
Jamahal Hill
Jimmy Crute		59.1%
40.9%
+165
-190
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-1.00657-0.99458-0.52668
Clay Guida
Leonardo Santos		8.3%
91.7%
+200
-225
+195
-200
Win
Loss		-1.12393-1.08743-2.48855
Mickey Gall
Alex Morono		41.0%
59.0%
+217
-255
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.36406-0.35364-0.52836
Maki Pitolo
Dusko Todorovic		6.1%
93.9%
+162
-185
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46248-0.45497-0.06287
Cheyanne Buys
Mallory Martin		50.0%
50.0%
-210
+187
-195
+175
Win
Loss		-0.41499-0.43833-0.69315
Vince Morales
Louis Smolka		35.4%
64.6%
+145
-170
+160
-160
Win
Loss		-0.93318-0.95550-1.03885
Miesha Tate
Ketlen Vieira		48.4%
51.6%
-115
+100
-105
+100
Loss
Win		-0.72743-0.70528-0.66099
Joanne Calderwood
Taila Santos		50.0%
50.0%
+360
-420
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.23835-0.25884-0.69315
Loopy Godinez
Loma Lookboonmee		50.0%
50.0%
-137
+135
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.55166-0.54782-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.