UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Steven Peterson
Chase Hooper		50.9%
49.1%
+102
+100
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.69814-0.77319-0.67580
Augusto Sakai
Jairzinho Rozenstruik		44.7%
55.3%
+105
-120
+105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.65817-0.59158
Walt Harris
Marcin Tybura		48.1%
51.9%
+165
-185
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.45497-0.65674
Roman Dolidze
Laureano Staropoli		84.5%
15.5%
-170
+154
-160
+148
Win
Loss		-0.48568-0.50395-0.16825
Montana De La Rosa
Ariane Lipski		53.2%
46.8%
-290
+250
-250
+235
Win
Loss		-0.32515-0.34919-0.63147
Ilir Latifi
Tanner Boser		52.0%
48.0%
+150
-170
+153
-170
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.95280-0.65452
Francisco Trinaldo
Muslim Salikhov		58.4%
41.6%
+190
-225
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40419-0.42344-0.87613
Cody Garbrandt
Rob Font		49.6%
50.4%
+104
-120
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64118-0.62755-0.68613
Norma Dumont
Felicia Spencer		3.6%
96.4%
+160
-175
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-0.97625-1.01846-3.32897
Ricardo Ramos
Bill Algeo		75.4%
24.6%
+125
-140
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.83833-0.80802-0.28214
Edmen Shahbazyan
Jack Hermansson		73.4%
26.6%
+135
-122
+120
-125
Loss
Win		-0.57343-0.59784-1.32448
Court McGee
Claudio Silva		11.7%
88.3%
+105
-115
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.74028-0.72940-2.14439
Tony Ferguson
Beneil Dariush		68.8%
31.2%
+134
-148
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.54007-0.53604-1.16578
Rogerio Bontorin
Matt Schnell		57.6%
42.4%
+149
-165
+150
-165
Win
Loss		-0.93624-0.93869-0.55092
Edson Barboza
Shane Burgos		40.7%
59.3%
+142
-160
+142
-155
Win
Loss		-0.91198-0.90461-0.89830
Lando Vannata
Mike Grundy		15.7%
84.3%
+113
-125
+105
-120
Win
Loss		-0.78086-0.75056-1.84896
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.