UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Andrea Lee
Antonina Shevchenko		43.3%
56.7%
+103
-120
+111
-120
Win
Loss		-0.74539-0.76589-0.83729
Priscila Cachoeira
Gina Mazany		50.0%
50.0%
+213
-245
+210
-225
Win
Loss		-1.17022-1.14618-0.69315
Alex Morono
Donald Cerrone		38.7%
61.3%
+160
-155
+160
-170
Win
Loss		-0.94794-0.96964-0.94868
Neil Magny
Geoff Neal		14.8%
85.2%
+155
-175
+155
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96420-0.95763-1.90838
Diego Ferreira
Gregor Gillespie		93.8%
6.2%
+130
-132
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56768-0.57304-2.77595
Dominick Reyes
Jiri Prochazka		46.9%
53.1%
+100
+106
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70804-0.71668-0.63209
Cub Swanson
Giga Chikadze		47.6%
52.4%
+169
-185
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.45279-0.46959-0.64539
Cody Stamann
Merab Dvalishvili		53.5%
46.5%
+235
-265
+242
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34441-0.33994-0.76469
Randa Markos
Luana Pinheiro		50.0%
50.0%
+142
-155
+145
-150
Loss
Win		-0.51869-0.51896-0.69315
Luana Carolina
Poliana Botelho		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-240
+210
-240
Win
Loss		-1.14832-1.15948-0.69315
Jorge Masvidal
Kamaru Usman		15.9%
84.1%
+285
-335
+270
-305
Loss
Win		-0.29063-0.30666-0.17365
Jessica Andrade
Valentina Shevchenko		16.9%
83.1%
+380
-500
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22314-0.21869-0.18532
Chris Weidman
Uriah Hall		48.0%
52.0%
-150
+146
-150
+145
Loss
Win		-0.90666-0.90421-0.65356
Anthony Smith
Jimmy Crute		50.0%
50.0%
+213
-240
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.16607-1.18136-0.69405
Alex Oliveira
Randy Brown		40.2%
59.8%
+120
-124
+115
-124
Loss
Win		-0.59946-0.60989-0.51487
Karl Roberson
Brendan Allen		34.5%
65.5%
+145
-138
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53293-0.52736-0.42381
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.