UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Christos Giagos
Arman Tsarukyan		33.0%
67.0%
+600
-800
+575
-780
Loss
Win		-0.14903-0.15456-0.40007
Antonio Arroyo
Joaquin Buckley		33.0%
67.0%
+159
-180
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.47037-0.48102-0.40043
Raquel Pennington
Pannie Kianzad		81.2%
18.8%
-125
+111
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.61683-0.59012-0.20827
Erin Blanchfield
Sarah Alpar		50.0%
50.0%
-435
+360
-400
+350
Win
Loss		-0.23694-0.24512-0.69315
Hannah Goldy
Emily Whitmire		50.0%
50.0%
+107
-125
+108
-125
Win
Loss		-0.76548-0.76804-0.69315
Derek Brunson
Darren Till		47.7%
52.3%
+125
-144
+132
-140
Win
Loss		-0.84495-0.85583-0.73995
Serghei Spivac
Tom Aspinall		42.6%
57.4%
+225
-235
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36369-0.38995-0.55521
Alex Morono
David Zawada		76.9%
23.1%
-125
+109
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.62124-0.61904-0.26318
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Modestas Bukauskas		30.3%
69.7%
+135
-149
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.87806-0.93156-1.19274
Ji Yeon Kim
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
+105
-120
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.63885-0.69315
Julian Erosa
Charles Jourdain		81.2%
18.8%
+160
-185
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-0.98867-1.01846-0.20832
Marc-Andre Barriault
Dalcha Lungiambula		55.0%
45.0%
-157
+150
-165
+150
Win
Loss		-0.50367-0.49617-0.59715
Edson Barboza
Giga Chikadze		49.1%
50.9%
-125
+115
-120
+110
Loss
Win		-0.78592-0.76336-0.67625
Kevin Lee
Daniel Rodriguez		40.4%
59.6%
-140
+122
-140
+125
Loss
Win		-0.83073-0.83833-0.51760
Alessio Di Chirico
Abdul Razak Alhassan		11.9%
88.1%
-240
+210
-245
+220
Loss
Win		-1.15948-1.18554-0.12648
Sam Alvey
Wellington Turman		36.2%
63.8%
+100
-115
+105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.66000-0.65817-0.44975
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.