UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kelvin Gastelum
Jared Cannonier		40.2%
59.8%
+130
-145
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.55431-0.51442
Austin Hubbard
Vinc Pichel		51.9%
48.1%
+123
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.57027-0.56639-0.73287
Domingo Pilarte
Brian Kelleher		15.3%
84.7%
+165
-185
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.46561-0.16554
Josiane Nunes
Bea Malecki		50.0%
50.0%
+152
-165
+150
-155
Win
Loss		-0.94353-0.92410-0.69315
Derrick Lewis
Ciryl Gane		39.0%
61.0%
+270
-325
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30265-0.29408-0.49415
Pedro Munhoz
Jose Aldo		52.4%
47.6%
+110
-110
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.64663-0.68201-0.74194
Michael Chiesa
Vicente Luque		34.6%
65.4%
+110
-108
-110
+105
Loss
Win		-0.65082-0.72940-0.42523
Tecia Torres
Angela Hill		67.0%
33.0%
-140
+145
-155
+150
Win
Loss		-0.53045-0.50566-0.40043
Bobby Green
Rafael Fiziev		38.8%
61.2%
+261
-270
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.32180-0.31508-0.49107
Ed Herman
Alonzo Menifield		47.7%
52.3%
+230
-250
+235
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.34595-0.64764
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Jessica Penne		50.0%
50.0%
-125
+127
-145
+130
Loss
Win		-0.81586-0.85918-0.69315
Anderson Dos Santos
Miles Johns		24.5%
75.5%
+210
-200
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39466-0.39531-0.28073
Victoria Leonardo
Melissa Gatto		50.0%
50.0%
+120
-110
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.62474-0.67015-0.69315
Gloria de Paula
Cheyanne Buys		50.0%
50.0%
+146
-158
+135
-140
Loss
Win		-0.50909-0.54782-0.69315
Jason Witt
Bryan Barberena		15.2%
84.8%
+250
-250
+225
-250
Win
Loss		-1.25278-1.20041-1.88295
Kai Kamaka
Danny Chavez		50.0%
50.0%
-119
+100
-110
+100
Draw
Draw		-0.69402-0.69342-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.