UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jinh Yu Frey
Ashley Yoder		50.0%
50.0%
+145
-140
+140
-155
Win
Loss		-0.88756-0.89968-0.69315
TJ Dillashaw
Cory Sandhagen		57.8%
42.2%
+170
-185
+175
-200
Win
Loss		-1.01255-1.04146-0.54837
Raulian Paiva
Kyler Phillips		40.8%
59.2%
+290
-249
+275
-320
Win
Loss		-1.33041-1.34992-0.89754
Maycee Barber
Miranda Maverick		50.0%
50.0%
+140
-150
+147
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.91684-0.69315
Brendan Allen
Punahele Soriano		57.2%
42.8%
+110
-115
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.72743-0.55793
Julio Arce
Andre Ewell		73.8%
26.2%
-195
+184
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42702-0.42898-0.30434
Elise Reed
Tony Ferguson		50.0%
50.0%
+355
-260
+320
-360
Loss
Win		-0.26567-0.26562-0.69315
Diana Belbita
Hannah Goldy		50.0%
50.0%
+103
-105
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71284-0.72940-0.69315
Gabriel Benitez
Billy Quarantillo		32.9%
67.1%
-150
+143
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.89936-0.87165-0.39952
Montserrat Conejo
Amanda Lemos		50.0%
50.0%
+500
-525
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18101-0.19464-0.69315
Dustin Poirier
Conor McGregor		49.6%
50.4%
-130
+118
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59419-0.59784-0.70031
Gilbert Burns
Stephen Thompson		56.2%
43.8%
+137
-157
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89519-0.91198-0.57695
Greg Hardy
Tai Tuivasa		62.6%
37.4%
+110
-113
+105
-118
Loss
Win		-0.64059-0.64249-0.98401
Yana Kunitskaya
Irene Aldana		53.8%
46.2%
-115
+107
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.74537-0.74028-0.77299
Max Griffin
Carlos Condit		55.2%
44.8%
-180
+164
-180
+165
Win
Loss		-0.46324-0.46185-0.59428
Niko Price
Michel Pereira		79.6%
20.4%
+165
-190
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45487-0.46185-1.58998
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.