UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brad Tavares
Omari Akhmedov		46.9%
53.1%
-147
+130
-145
+135
Win
Loss		-0.54844-0.54173-0.75749
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane		42.6%
57.4%
+148
-160
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.50395-0.50878-0.55478
Ovince Saint Preux
Tanner Boser		59.7%
40.3%
+170
-193
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.44615-0.42286-0.90932
Timur Valiev
Raoni Barcelos		5.2%
94.8%
+177
-202
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-1.04828-1.04185-2.95440
Jai Herbert
Renato Moicano		15.9%
84.1%
+205
-230
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.38554-0.37138-0.17289
Julija Stoliarenko
Julia Avila		50.0%
50.0%
+285
-350
+305
-350
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27570-0.69315
Justin Jaynes
Charles Rosa		69.6%
30.4%
+145
-141
+145
-140
Loss
Win		-0.52924-0.53045-1.19023
Damir Hadzovic
Yancy Medeiros		46.5%
53.5%
-143
+125
-130
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56261-0.58016-0.76484
Chan Sung Jung
Dan Ige		63.9%
36.1%
+130
-145
+145
-150
Win
Loss		-0.85918-0.90421-0.44710
Davey Grant
Marlon Vera		16.3%
83.7%
+180
-209
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42398-0.41737-0.17745
Wellington Turman
Bruno Silva		92.6%
7.4%
+110
-124
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.62070-0.60042-2.60843
Matt Brown
Dhiego Lima		64.1%
35.9%
+175
-195
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.03595-0.99997-0.44409
Nicolae Negumereanu
Aleksa Camur		4.5%
95.5%
+205
-240
+210
-245
Win
Loss		-1.14832-1.16360-3.09533
Kanako Murata
Virna Jandiroba		50.0%
50.0%
+116
-135
+120
-125
Loss
Win		-0.59106-0.59784-0.69315
Casey O'Neill
Lara Procopio		50.0%
50.0%
+147
-170
+148
-155
Win
Loss		-0.93813-0.91925-0.69315
Marvin Vettori
Israel Adesanya		15.9%
84.1%
+220
-236
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36805-0.38472-0.17300
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.