UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo		26.2%
73.8%
+165
-190
+160
-180
Win
Loss		-1.00657-0.98262-1.34075
Nate Diaz
Leon Edwards		18.8%
81.2%
+385
-500
+375
-420
Loss
Win		-0.22108-0.23163-0.20874
Demian Maia
Belal Muhammad		44.7%
55.3%
+204
-205
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.39839-0.41737-0.59185
Paul Craig
Jamahal Hill		19.6%
80.4%
+210
-250
+220
-260
Win
Loss		-1.16761-1.19730-1.62826
Eryk Anders
Darren Stewart		62.7%
37.3%
-145
+126
-140
+128
Win
Loss		-0.55827-0.56070-0.46662
Joanne Calderwood
Lauren Murphy		47.3%
52.7%
-135
+115
-126
+120
Loss
Win		-0.80428-0.80044-0.64084
Hakeem Dawodu
Movsar Evloev		22.2%
77.8%
+200
-228
+200
-218
Loss
Win		-0.39172-0.39625-0.25093
Alexis Davis
Pannie Kianzad		51.9%
48.1%
+227
-240
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35994-0.36652-0.73114
Steven Peterson
Chase Hooper		50.9%
49.1%
+102
+100
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.69814-0.77319-0.67580
Augusto Sakai
Jairzinho Rozenstruik		44.7%
55.3%
+105
-120
+105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.65817-0.59158
Walt Harris
Marcin Tybura		48.1%
51.9%
+165
-185
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.45497-0.65674
Roman Dolidze
Laureano Staropoli		84.5%
15.5%
-170
+154
-160
+148
Win
Loss		-0.48568-0.50395-0.16825
Montana De La Rosa
Ariane Lipski		53.2%
46.8%
-290
+250
-250
+235
Win
Loss		-0.32515-0.34919-0.63147
Ilir Latifi
Tanner Boser		52.0%
48.0%
+150
-170
+153
-170
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.95280-0.65452
Francisco Trinaldo
Muslim Salikhov		58.4%
41.6%
+190
-225
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40419-0.42344-0.87613
Cody Garbrandt
Rob Font		49.6%
50.4%
+104
-120
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64118-0.62755-0.68613
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.