UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Charles Oliveira
Tony Ferguson		33.5%
66.5%
+152
-165
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94907-0.93570-1.09491
Virna Jandiroba
Mackenzie Dern		31.4%
68.6%
+130
-146
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54583-0.53929-0.37694
Jacare Souza
Kevin Holland		66.9%
33.1%
+110
-125
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.61676-0.62618-1.10425
Cub Swanson
Daniel Pineda		77.8%
22.2%
+140
-156
+142
-160
Win
Loss		-0.90723-0.91899-0.25138
Renato Moicano
Rafael Fiziev		54.8%
45.2%
+110
-120
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.62618-0.63709-0.79299
Billy Quarantillo
Gavin Tucker		76.3%
23.7%
-190
+166
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.02057-1.03778-1.44160
Peter Barrett
Chase Hooper		51.6%
48.4%
+260
-305
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30427-0.30638-0.72540
Jack Hermansson
Marvin Vettori		39.0%
61.0%
+115
-130
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59775-0.57912-0.49508
Ovince Saint Preux
Jamahal Hill		34.3%
65.7%
+155
-175
+175
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47465-0.45199-0.42019
Justin Jaynes
Gabriel Benitez		66.9%
33.1%
+190
-220
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39848-0.42349-1.10645
Jake Collier
Gian Villante		58.7%
41.3%
+165
-187
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.01366-1.00239-0.53251
Devin Clark
Anthony Smith		32.4%
67.6%
+112
-125
+115
-120
Loss
Win		-0.61262-0.61587-0.39190
Kai Kamaka
Jonathan Pearce		77.2%
22.8%
-270
+245
-268
+260
Loss
Win		-1.27272-1.29186-1.47705
Anderson Dos Santos
Martin Day		35.9%
64.1%
+152
-165
+150
-150
Win
Loss		-0.94907-0.91629-1.02577
Alex Perez
Deiveson Figueiredo		32.2%
67.8%
+220
-250
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35539-0.35463-0.38890
Jennifer Maia
Valentina Shevchenko		8.0%
92.0%
+1100
-1550
+1050
-1500
Loss
Win		-0.07469-0.07767-0.08294
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.