UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Norma Dumont
Felicia Spencer		3.6%
96.4%
+160
-175
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-0.97625-1.01846-3.32897
Ricardo Ramos
Bill Algeo		75.4%
24.6%
+125
-140
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.83833-0.80802-0.28214
Edmen Shahbazyan
Jack Hermansson		73.4%
26.6%
+135
-122
+120
-125
Loss
Win		-0.57343-0.59784-1.32448
Court McGee
Claudio Silva		11.7%
88.3%
+105
-115
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.74028-0.72940-2.14439
Tony Ferguson
Beneil Dariush		68.8%
31.2%
+134
-148
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.54007-0.53604-1.16578
Rogerio Bontorin
Matt Schnell		57.6%
42.4%
+149
-165
+150
-165
Win
Loss		-0.93624-0.93869-0.55092
Edson Barboza
Shane Burgos		40.7%
59.3%
+142
-160
+142
-155
Win
Loss		-0.91198-0.90461-0.89830
Lando Vannata
Mike Grundy		15.7%
84.3%
+113
-125
+105
-120
Win
Loss		-0.78086-0.75056-1.84896
Andrea Lee
Antonina Shevchenko		43.3%
56.7%
+103
-120
+111
-120
Win
Loss		-0.74539-0.76589-0.83729
Priscila Cachoeira
Gina Mazany		50.0%
50.0%
+213
-245
+210
-225
Win
Loss		-1.17022-1.14618-0.69315
Alex Morono
Donald Cerrone		38.7%
61.3%
+160
-155
+160
-170
Win
Loss		-0.94794-0.96964-0.94868
Neil Magny
Geoff Neal		14.8%
85.2%
+155
-175
+155
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96420-0.95763-1.90838
Diego Ferreira
Gregor Gillespie		93.8%
6.2%
+130
-132
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56768-0.57304-2.77595
Dominick Reyes
Jiri Prochazka		46.9%
53.1%
+100
+106
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70804-0.71668-0.63209
Cub Swanson
Giga Chikadze		47.6%
52.4%
+169
-185
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.45279-0.46959-0.64539
Cody Stamann
Merab Dvalishvili		53.5%
46.5%
+235
-265
+242
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34441-0.33994-0.76469
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.