UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tim Means
Mike Perry		42.0%
58.0%
+113
-125
+110
-130
Win
Loss		-0.78316-0.78640-0.86781
Katlyn Chookagian
Cynthia Calvillo		50.0%
50.0%
+218
-250
+210
-240
Win
Loss		-1.20367-1.17652-0.69315
Mauricio Rua
Paul Craig		60.4%
39.6%
+175
-186
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44105-0.44690-0.92541
Jordan Wright
Joaquin Buckley		50.0%
50.0%
+190
-220
+200
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39848-0.40546-0.69315
Ariane Lipski
Antonina Shevchenko		21.0%
79.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
Loss
Win		-0.60785-0.59162-0.23617
Rafael Dos Anjos
Paul Felder		54.3%
45.7%
-210
+185
-195
+180
Win
Loss		-0.41057-0.42780-0.60996
Ashley Yoder
Miranda Granger		50.0%
50.0%
+140
-155
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.90533-0.95514-0.69315
Rhys McKee
Alex Morono		29.0%
71.0%
+175
-195
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.43280-0.44690-0.34191
Glover Teixeira
Thiago Santos		62.4%
37.6%
+204
-235
+205
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15922-1.15376-0.47162
Andrei Arlovski
Tanner Boser		42.4%
57.6%
+320
-365
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.48470-1.49772-0.85849
Khalid Taha
Raoni Barcelos		4.3%
95.7%
+345
-400
+325
-380
Loss
Win		-0.23871-0.25078-0.04389
Trevin Giles
Bevon Lewis		83.7%
16.3%
-115
+105
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64714-0.65778-0.17755
Ramiz Brahimaj
Max Griffin		42.3%
57.7%
+128
-145
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55057-0.57989-0.54913
Anderson Silva
Uriah Hall		42.5%
57.5%
+234
-225
+232
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36174-0.34177-0.55304
Andre Fili
Bryce Mitchell		43.5%
56.5%
+135
-119
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.58173-0.62618-0.57088
Maurice Greene
Greg Hardy		43.8%
56.2%
+300
-305
+290
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28562-0.27686-0.57536
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.