UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for May 30, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Deiveson Figueiredo
Song Yadong
54.2%
45.8%
+420
-550
+425
-550
Fights for May 29, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Jessica Andrade
Valentina Shevchenko
16.9%
83.1%
+380
-500
+400
-450
Loss
Win
-0.22314-0.21869-0.18532
Chris Weidman
Uriah Hall
48.0%
52.0%
-150
+146
-150
+145
Loss
Win
-0.90666-0.90421-0.65356
Anthony Smith
Jimmy Crute
50.0%
50.0%
+213
-240
+220
-240
Win
Loss
-1.16607-1.18136-0.69405
Alex Oliveira
Randy Brown
40.2%
59.8%
+120
-124
+115
-124
Loss
Win
-0.59946-0.60989-0.51487
Karl Roberson
Brendan Allen
34.5%
65.5%
+145
-138
+140
-150
Loss
Win
-0.53293-0.52736-0.42381
Na Liang
Ariane Carnelossi
50.0%
50.0%
+186
-214
+185
-210
Loss
Win
-0.41412-0.41737-0.69315
Kelvin Gastelum
Robert Whittaker
21.1%
78.9%
+225
-265
+220
-250
Loss
Win
-0.35332-0.36291-0.23743
Justine Kish
Tracy Cortez
50.0%
50.0%
+280
-320
+270
-300
Loss
Win
-0.29670-0.30775-0.69315
Bartosz Fabinski
Gerald Meerschaert
54.0%
46.0%
-115
+108
-125
+110
Loss
Win
-0.74790-0.77319-0.77607
Kevin Holland
Marvin Vettori
30.4%
69.6%
+260
-320
+270
-300
Loss
Win
-0.31086-0.30775-0.36235
Arnold Allen
Sodiq Yusuff
45.5%
54.5%
+133
-150
+130
-145
Win
Loss
-0.87465-0.85918-0.78654
Nina Nunes
Mackenzie Dern
71.8%
28.2%
-120
+108
-120
+120
Loss
Win
-0.75824-0.78845-1.26457
Mike Perry
Daniel Rodriguez
28.2%
71.8%
+105
-119
+105
-120
Loss
Win
-0.64065-0.63885-0.33149
Stipe Miocic
Francis Ngannou
41.2%
58.8%
+120
-135
+125
-134
Loss
Win
-0.58291-0.57442-0.53144
Tyron Woodley
Vicente Luque
39.6%
60.4%
+169
-194
+170
-180
Loss
Win
-0.44685-0.45497-0.50354
Thomas Almeida
Sean O'Malley
22.4%
77.6%
+295
-325
+300
-330
Loss
Win
-0.28598-0.28198-0.25390
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.