UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cole Williams
Jason Witt		66.8%
33.2%
+155
-145
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.51109-0.46262-1.10193
Justin Gaethje
Khabib Nurmagomedov		19.7%
80.3%
+240
-275
+250
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32905-0.32080-0.21898
Jared Cannonier
Robert Whittaker		28.5%
71.5%
-120
+100
-114
+105
Loss
Win		-0.73965-0.73909-0.33533
Walt Harris
Alexander Volkov		27.7%
72.3%
+158
-180
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46580-0.45216-0.32490
Ion Cutelaba
Magomed Ankalaev		42.2%
57.8%
+320
-360
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.25843-0.27612-0.54749
Tai Tuivasa
Stefan Struve		49.0%
51.0%
-152
+140
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.52214-0.52482-0.71380
Liana Jojua
Miranda Maverick		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-380
+350
-380
Loss
Win		-0.25078-0.24242-0.69315
Joel Alvarez
Alexander Yakovlev		77.8%
22.2%
-182
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46143-0.47963-0.25113
Brian Ortega
Chan Sung Jung		61.0%
39.0%
+190
-185
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-1.05598-1.01993-0.49497
Katlyn Chookagian
Jessica Andrade		48.3%
51.7%
+155
-151
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.50299-0.49213-0.65964
Modestas Bukauskas
Jimmy Crute		46.2%
53.8%
+255
-260
+250
-265
Loss
Win		-0.32813-0.32828-0.62058
Claudio Silva
James Krause		69.1%
30.9%
+135
-125
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.57089-0.62618-1.17435
Jonathan Martinez
Thomas Almeida		31.1%
68.9%
+120
-134
+129
-130
Win
Loss		-0.81882-0.83073-1.16684
Poliana Botelho
Gillian Robertson		50.0%
50.0%
+210
-208
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39102-0.38995-0.69315
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Maxim Grishin		74.7%
25.3%
+285
-300
+270
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29420-0.30128-1.37377
Mark Striegl
Said Nurmagomedov		13.8%
86.2%
+330
-400
+335
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24370-0.24200-0.14871
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.