UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Darren Stewart
Kevin Holland		27.2%
72.8%
+265
-285
+270
-290
Loss
Win		-0.31040-0.30563-0.31792
Mara Romero Borella
Mayra Bueno Silva		10.8%
89.2%
+235
-255
+240
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34263-0.34236-0.11446
Randy Costa
Journey Newson		41.4%
58.6%
+121
-127
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.80629-0.78794-0.88257
Michelle Waterson
Angela Hill		65.8%
34.2%
+145
-140
+141
-155
Win
Loss		-0.88574-0.90745-0.41875
Roxanne Modafferi
Andrea Lee		49.2%
50.8%
+255
-300
+255
-280
Win
Loss		-1.32486-1.30041-0.70978
Kyle Nelson
Billy Quarantillo		33.0%
67.0%
+250
-270
+235
-265
Loss
Win		-0.32572-0.33721-0.40116
Sijara Eubanks
Julia Avila		23.6%
76.4%
+250
-250
+240
-270
Win
Loss		-1.25278-1.26517-1.44384
Anthony Ivy
Bryan Barberena		16.1%
83.9%
+205
-225
+210
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38240-0.37513-0.17512
Augusto Sakai
Alistair Overeem		64.0%
36.0%
+155
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.48574-0.49166-1.02060
Ovince Saint Preux
Alonzo Menifield		60.1%
39.9%
+137
-145
+135
-140
Win
Loss		-0.87936-0.86488-0.50838
Zelim Imadaev
Michel Pereira		18.3%
81.7%
+135
-145
+140
-140
Loss
Win		-0.53929-0.53900-0.20202
Cole Smith
Hunter Azure		47.8%
52.2%
+235
-245
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34840-0.34866-0.64997
Anthony Smith
Aleksandar Rakic		36.6%
63.4%
+205
-240
+222
-250
Loss
Win		-0.37250-0.35401-0.45629
Robbie Lawler
Neil Magny		37.2%
62.8%
+203
-238
+210
-225
Loss
Win		-0.37533-0.37853-0.46598
Bill Algeo
Ricardo Lamas		20.8%
79.2%
+230
-252
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34752-0.34866-0.23374
Maki Pitolo
Impa Kasanganay		36.1%
63.9%
+137
-145
+131
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53623-0.54564-0.44724
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.