UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alessio Di Chirico
Zak Cummings		19.0%
81.0%
-135
+117
-130
+125
Loss
Win		-0.81378-0.82187-0.21129
Emily Whitmire
Polyana Viana		50.0%
50.0%
-135
+119
-130
+125
Loss
Win		-0.81853-0.82187-0.69315
Frankie Edgar
Pedro Munhoz		42.7%
57.3%
+235
-265
+240
-270
Win
Loss		-1.25092-1.26517-0.85177
Daniel Rodriguez
Dwight Grant		75.7%
24.3%
-184
+170
-185
+175
Win
Loss		-0.44823-0.44201-0.27866
Stipe Miocic
Daniel Cormier		46.4%
53.6%
+100
-113
+105
-108
Win
Loss		-0.72414-0.72507-0.76843
Marlon Vera
Sean O'Malley		17.7%
82.3%
+260
-277
+250
-285
Win
Loss		-1.30376-1.29931-1.73421
Junior Dos Santos
Jairzinho Rozenstruik		17.3%
82.7%
+120
-135
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.57989-0.61676-0.18990
John Dodson
Merab Dvalishvili		70.9%
29.1%
+240
-270
+235
-240
Loss
Win		-0.33155-0.35142-1.23591
Felice Herrig
Virna Jandiroba		82.6%
17.4%
+270
-294
+265
-282
Loss
Win		-0.30387-0.31180-1.75123
Aleksei Oleinik
Derrick Lewis		38.0%
62.0%
+175
-194
+175
-193
Loss
Win		-0.43369-0.43459-0.47729
Omari Akhmedov
Chris Weidman		61.1%
38.9%
+135
-150
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53232-0.53929-0.94526
Tim Means
Laureano Staropoli		59.2%
40.8%
+140
-153
+150
-155
Win
Loss		-0.90150-0.92614-0.52459
Andrew Sanchez
Wellington Turman		32.6%
67.4%
+110
-122
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.76934-0.81042-1.12199
Derek Brunson
Edmen Shahbazyan		24.2%
75.8%
+300
-350
+320
-340
Win
Loss		-1.44346-1.45809-1.41679
Jennifer Maia
Joanne Calderwood		63.0%
37.0%
+175
-190
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-1.03781-1.00171-0.46270
Randy Brown
Vicente Luque		34.5%
65.5%
+175
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44201-0.44690-0.42378
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.