UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antonio Carlos Junior
Brad Tavares		49.1%
50.9%
-125
+115
-125
+117
Loss
Win		-0.78592-0.79098-0.67472
Julianna Pena
Sara McMann		85.8%
14.2%
+100
-119
+110
-120
Win
Loss		-0.73562-0.76336-0.15258
Marcin Prachnio
Khalil Rountree Jr.		41.7%
58.3%
+330
-400
+370
-400
Win
Loss		-1.49063-1.56022-0.87373
Nik Lentz
Movsar Evloev		26.6%
73.4%
+525
-700
+555
-650
Loss
Win		-0.16793-0.16225-0.30946
Amir Albazi
Zhalgas Zhumagulov		92.1%
7.9%
-114
-105
-120
+105
Win
Loss		-0.67372-0.63885-0.08234
Warlley Alves
Mounir Lazzez		38.2%
61.8%
+223
-255
+240
-240
Win
Loss		-1.20001-1.22377-0.96260
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Lerone Murphy		24.3%
75.7%
+274
-317
+300
-320
Loss
Win		-0.30139-0.28377-0.27778
Omari Akhmedov
Tom Breese		56.5%
43.5%
+131
-145
+135
-130
Win
Loss		-0.86168-0.84513-0.57070
Markus Perez
Dalcha Lungiambula		69.2%
30.8%
+149
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49774-0.49303-1.17710
Calvin Kattar
Max Holloway		39.0%
61.0%
+136
-155
+148
-160
Loss
Win		-0.52892-0.50395-0.49359
Matt Brown
Carlos Condit		60.2%
39.8%
+183
-200
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42529-0.41146-0.92143
Alessio Di Chirico
Joaquin Buckley		44.7%
55.3%
+235
-275
+250
-250
Win
Loss		-1.24029-1.25278-0.80515
Punahele Soriano
Dusko Todorovic		26.8%
73.2%
+150
-170
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.94358-1.31654
David Zawada
Ramazan Emeev		22.0%
78.0%
+270
-300
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30775-0.31508-0.24868
Geoff Neal
Stephen Thompson		79.0%
21.0%
-108
-108
-105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.69315-1.56117
Marlon Vera
Jose Aldo		23.1%
76.9%
+125
-138
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56616-0.56308-0.26276
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.