UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rob Font
Marlon Moraes		24.4%
75.6%
+142
-160
+140
-150
Win
Loss		-0.91899-0.89568-1.41030
Greg Hardy
Marcin Tybura		59.1%
40.9%
-110
-105
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70481-0.72865-0.89475
Alex Morono
Anthony Pettis		34.0%
66.0%
+170
-193
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43979-0.44201-0.41620
Pannie Kianzad
Tony Ferguson		14.6%
85.4%
+125
-145
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.85261-0.85397-1.92497
Deron Winn
Antonio Arroyo		63.2%
36.8%
+161
-175
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98513-1.00171-0.45890
Gillian Robertson
Taila Santos		50.0%
50.0%
-125
+120
-115
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79962-0.75362-0.69315
Christos Giagos
Carlton Minus		61.4%
38.6%
-340
+285
-325
+310
Win
Loss		-0.27907-0.27391-0.48704
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo		26.2%
73.8%
+280
-330
+300
-310
Draw
Draw		-0.83986-0.84110-0.82204
Charles Oliveira
Tony Ferguson		33.5%
66.5%
+152
-165
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94907-0.93570-1.09491
Virna Jandiroba
Mackenzie Dern		31.4%
68.6%
+130
-146
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54583-0.53929-0.37694
Jacare Souza
Kevin Holland		66.9%
33.1%
+110
-125
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.61676-0.62618-1.10425
Cub Swanson
Daniel Pineda		77.8%
22.2%
+140
-156
+142
-160
Win
Loss		-0.90723-0.91899-0.25138
Renato Moicano
Rafael Fiziev		54.8%
45.2%
+110
-120
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.62618-0.63709-0.79299
Billy Quarantillo
Gavin Tucker		76.3%
23.7%
-190
+166
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.02057-1.03778-1.44160
Peter Barrett
Chase Hooper		51.6%
48.4%
+260
-305
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30427-0.30638-0.72540
Jack Hermansson
Marvin Vettori		39.0%
61.0%
+115
-130
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59775-0.57912-0.49508
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.