UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 6, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas
29.1%
70.9%
+250
-285
+275
-300
Fights for Sep 5, 2025
Fights for Sep 7, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Justin Gaethje
Khabib Nurmagomedov
19.7%
80.3%
+240
-275
+250
-280
Loss
Win
-0.32905-0.32080-0.21898
Jared Cannonier
Robert Whittaker
28.5%
71.5%
-120
+100
-114
+105
Loss
Win
-0.73965-0.73909-0.33533
Walt Harris
Alexander Volkov
27.7%
72.3%
+158
-180
+170
-180
Loss
Win
-0.46580-0.45216-0.32490
Ion Cutelaba
Magomed Ankalaev
42.2%
57.8%
+320
-360
+300
-330
Loss
Win
-0.25843-0.27612-0.54749
Tai Tuivasa
Stefan Struve
49.0%
51.0%
-152
+140
-150
+140
Win
Loss
-0.52214-0.52482-0.71380
Liana Jojua
Miranda Maverick
50.0%
50.0%
+325
-380
+350
-380
Loss
Win
-0.25078-0.24242-0.69315
Joel Alvarez
Alexander Yakovlev
77.8%
22.2%
-182
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss
-0.46143-0.47963-0.25113
Brian Ortega
Chan Sung Jung
61.0%
39.0%
+190
-185
+170
-185
Win
Loss
-1.05598-1.01993-0.49497
Katlyn Chookagian
Jessica Andrade
48.3%
51.7%
+155
-151
+150
-165
Loss
Win
-0.50299-0.49213-0.65964
Modestas Bukauskas
Jimmy Crute
46.2%
53.8%
+255
-260
+250
-265
Loss
Win
-0.32813-0.32828-0.62058
Claudio Silva
James Krause
69.1%
30.9%
+135
-125
+110
-120
Loss
Win
-0.57089-0.62618-1.17435
Jonathan Martinez
Thomas Almeida
31.1%
68.9%
+120
-134
+129
-130
Win
Loss
-0.81882-0.83073-1.16684
Poliana Botelho
Gillian Robertson
50.0%
50.0%
+210
-208
+200
-220
Loss
Win
-0.39102-0.38995-0.69315
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Maxim Grishin
74.7%
25.3%
+285
-300
+270
-300
Loss
Win
-0.29420-0.30128-1.37377
Mark Striegl
Said Nurmagomedov
13.8%
86.2%
+330
-400
+335
-400
Loss
Win
-0.24370-0.24200-0.14871
Marlon Moraes
Cory Sandhagen
68.6%
31.4%
+115
-131
+120
-140
Loss
Win
-0.59604-0.57201-1.15894
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.21643 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.21869 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.59337
-0.37694
-0.37468

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.