UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 5, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington 		68.2%
31.8%
+165
-190
+170
-190
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson 		17.0%
83.0%
-190
+165
-190
+170
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo 		22.8%
77.2%
-165
+145
-160
+145
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze 		22.9%
77.1%
-165
+145
-170
+150
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira 		50.0%
50.0%
-650
+475
-650
+475
Court McGee
Tim Means 		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-230
+190
-220
Fights for Oct 4, 2024
Fights for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Taila Santos
Molly McCann		50.0%
50.0%
+180
-160
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.99188-1.03781-0.69315
Jared Gordon
Chris Fishgold		45.1%
54.9%
-148
+130
-135
+130
Win
Loss		-0.54302-0.56240-0.79562
Jorge Masvidal
Kamaru Usman		13.3%
86.7%
+238
-260
+245
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33802-0.33382-0.14283
Jose Aldo
Petr Yan		26.0%
74.0%
+215
-245
+240
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36192-0.34831-0.30139
Jessica Andrade
Rose Namajunas		43.6%
56.4%
+195
-210
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40164-0.39742-0.57318
Paige VanZant
Amanda Ribas		19.9%
80.1%
+535
-640
+550
-650
Loss
Win		-0.15819-0.15501-0.22218
Danny Henry
Makwan Amirkhani		50.4%
49.6%
+160
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45847-0.44690-0.70138
Dan Hooker
Dustin Poirier		26.6%
73.4%
+195
-223
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39199-0.39414-0.30891
Mickey Gall
Mike Perry		44.7%
55.3%
+270
-325
+275
-290
Loss
Win		-0.29140-0.30319-0.59325
Gian Villante
Maurice Greene		49.8%
50.2%
+245
-275
+235
-265
Loss
Win		-0.32609-0.33721-0.68852
Khama Worthy
Luis Pena		28.2%
71.8%
+215
-235
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.17772-1.19300-1.26464
Alexander Volkov
Curtis Blaydes		34.3%
65.7%
+290
-305
+310
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28990-0.26864-0.41998
Josh Emmett
Shane Burgos		39.3%
60.7%
+160
-175
+170
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98315-1.01129-0.93316
Marion Reneau
Raquel Pennington		38.3%
61.7%
+190
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.39848-0.40602-0.48279
Lyman Good
Belal Muhammad		40.9%
59.1%
+105
-119
+100
-115
Loss
Win		-0.63906-0.65886-0.52614
Jim Miller
Roosevelt Roberts		25.2%
74.8%
+215
-243
+225
-260
Win
Loss		-1.18908-1.22847-1.37714
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.