UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ovince Saint Preux
Jamahal Hill		34.3%
65.7%
+155
-175
+175
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47465-0.45199-0.42019
Justin Jaynes
Gabriel Benitez		66.9%
33.1%
+190
-220
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39848-0.42349-1.10645
Jake Collier
Gian Villante		58.7%
41.3%
+165
-187
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.01366-1.00239-0.53251
Devin Clark
Anthony Smith		32.4%
67.6%
+112
-125
+115
-120
Loss
Win		-0.61262-0.61587-0.39190
Kai Kamaka
Jonathan Pearce		77.2%
22.8%
-270
+245
-268
+260
Loss
Win		-1.27272-1.29186-1.47705
Anderson Dos Santos
Martin Day		35.9%
64.1%
+152
-165
+150
-150
Win
Loss		-0.94907-0.91629-1.02577
Alex Perez
Deiveson Figueiredo		32.2%
67.8%
+220
-250
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35539-0.35463-0.38890
Jennifer Maia
Valentina Shevchenko		8.0%
92.0%
+1100
-1550
+1050
-1500
Loss
Win		-0.07469-0.07767-0.08294
Tim Means
Mike Perry		42.0%
58.0%
+113
-125
+110
-130
Win
Loss		-0.78316-0.78640-0.86781
Katlyn Chookagian
Cynthia Calvillo		50.0%
50.0%
+218
-250
+210
-240
Win
Loss		-1.20367-1.17652-0.69315
Mauricio Rua
Paul Craig		60.4%
39.6%
+175
-186
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44105-0.44690-0.92541
Jordan Wright
Joaquin Buckley		50.0%
50.0%
+190
-220
+200
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39848-0.40546-0.69315
Ariane Lipski
Antonina Shevchenko		21.0%
79.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
Loss
Win		-0.60785-0.59162-0.23617
Rafael Dos Anjos
Paul Felder		54.3%
45.7%
-210
+185
-195
+180
Win
Loss		-0.41057-0.42780-0.60996
Ashley Yoder
Miranda Granger		50.0%
50.0%
+140
-155
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.90533-0.95514-0.69315
Rhys McKee
Alex Morono		29.0%
71.0%
+175
-195
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.43280-0.44690-0.34191
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.