UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for May 30, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Deiveson Figueiredo
Song Yadong 		54.2%
45.8%
+420
-550
+425
-550
Fights for May 29, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Claudio Silva
James Krause		69.1%
30.9%
+135
-125
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.57089-0.62618-1.17435
Jonathan Martinez
Thomas Almeida		31.1%
68.9%
+120
-134
+129
-130
Win
Loss		-0.81882-0.83073-1.16684
Poliana Botelho
Gillian Robertson		50.0%
50.0%
+210
-208
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39102-0.38995-0.69315
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Maxim Grishin		74.7%
25.3%
+285
-300
+270
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29420-0.30128-1.37377
Mark Striegl
Said Nurmagomedov		13.8%
86.2%
+330
-400
+335
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24370-0.24200-0.14871
Marlon Moraes
Cory Sandhagen		68.6%
31.4%
+115
-131
+120
-140
Loss
Win		-0.59604-0.57201-1.15894
Marcin Tybura
Ben Rothwell		42.2%
57.8%
+129
-140
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.85174-0.81042-0.86190
Joaquin Buckley
Impa Kasanganay		50.0%
50.0%
+215
-245
+225
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19185-1.20094-0.69315
Giga Chikadze
Omar Morales		39.6%
60.4%
+165
-185
+170
-180
Win
Loss		-1.01027-1.01129-0.92715
Irene Aldana
Holly Holm		40.3%
59.7%
+110
-125
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.61676-0.60657-0.51619
Carlos Felipe
Yorgan De Castro		64.9%
35.1%
+195
-210
+200
-210
Win
Loss		-1.10630-1.11489-0.43305
Germaine de Randamie
Julianna Pena		61.2%
38.8%
-155
+145
-160
+150
Win
Loss		-0.51109-0.49809-0.49119
Dequan Townsend
Dusko Todorovic		1.4%
98.6%
+345
-410
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.23623-0.25188-0.01405
Court McGee
Carlos Condit		49.7%
50.3%
-135
+117
-135
+125
Loss
Win		-0.81378-0.83243-0.68802
Paulo Costa
Israel Adesanya		31.0%
69.0%
+165
-190
+170
-177
Loss
Win		-0.44799-0.45522-0.37073
Jan Blachowicz
Dominick Reyes		28.3%
71.7%
+210
-240
+205
-235
Win
Loss		-1.17652-1.16095-1.26206
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.