UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-140
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augusto Sakai
Alistair Overeem		64.0%
36.0%
+155
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.48574-0.49166-1.02060
Ovince Saint Preux
Alonzo Menifield		60.1%
39.9%
+137
-145
+135
-140
Win
Loss		-0.87936-0.86488-0.50838
Zelim Imadaev
Michel Pereira		18.3%
81.7%
+135
-145
+140
-140
Loss
Win		-0.53929-0.53900-0.20202
Cole Smith
Hunter Azure		47.8%
52.2%
+235
-245
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34840-0.34866-0.64997
Anthony Smith
Aleksandar Rakic		36.6%
63.4%
+205
-240
+222
-250
Loss
Win		-0.37250-0.35401-0.45629
Robbie Lawler
Neil Magny		37.2%
62.8%
+203
-238
+210
-225
Loss
Win		-0.37533-0.37853-0.46598
Bill Algeo
Ricardo Lamas		20.8%
79.2%
+230
-252
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34752-0.34866-0.23374
Maki Pitolo
Impa Kasanganay		36.1%
63.9%
+137
-145
+131
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53623-0.54564-0.44724
Alessio Di Chirico
Zak Cummings		19.0%
81.0%
-135
+117
-130
+125
Loss
Win		-0.81378-0.82187-0.21129
Emily Whitmire
Polyana Viana		50.0%
50.0%
-135
+119
-130
+125
Loss
Win		-0.81853-0.82187-0.69315
Frankie Edgar
Pedro Munhoz		42.7%
57.3%
+235
-265
+240
-270
Win
Loss		-1.25092-1.26517-0.85177
Daniel Rodriguez
Dwight Grant		75.7%
24.3%
-184
+170
-185
+175
Win
Loss		-0.44823-0.44201-0.27866
Stipe Miocic
Daniel Cormier		46.4%
53.6%
+100
-113
+105
-108
Win
Loss		-0.72414-0.72507-0.76843
Marlon Vera
Sean O'Malley		17.7%
82.3%
+260
-277
+250
-285
Win
Loss		-1.30376-1.29931-1.73421
Junior Dos Santos
Jairzinho Rozenstruik		17.3%
82.7%
+120
-135
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.57989-0.61676-0.18990
John Dodson
Merab Dvalishvili		70.9%
29.1%
+240
-270
+235
-240
Loss
Win		-0.33155-0.35142-1.23591
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.