UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 21, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Punahele Soriano
Ramiz Brahimaj 		76.1%
23.9%
+110
-128
+120
-135
Fights for Feb 20, 2026
Fights for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Felice Herrig
Virna Jandiroba		82.6%
17.4%
+270
-294
+265
-282
Loss
Win		-0.30387-0.31180-1.75123
Aleksei Oleinik
Derrick Lewis		38.0%
62.0%
+175
-194
+175
-193
Loss
Win		-0.43369-0.43459-0.47729
Omari Akhmedov
Chris Weidman		61.1%
38.9%
+135
-150
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53232-0.53929-0.94526
Tim Means
Laureano Staropoli		59.2%
40.8%
+140
-153
+150
-155
Win
Loss		-0.90150-0.92614-0.52459
Andrew Sanchez
Wellington Turman		32.6%
67.4%
+110
-122
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.76934-0.81042-1.12199
Derek Brunson
Edmen Shahbazyan		24.2%
75.8%
+300
-350
+320
-340
Win
Loss		-1.44346-1.45809-1.41679
Jennifer Maia
Joanne Calderwood		63.0%
37.0%
+175
-190
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-1.03781-1.00171-0.46270
Randy Brown
Vicente Luque		34.5%
65.5%
+175
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44201-0.44690-0.42378
Bobby Green
Lando Vannata		74.0%
26.0%
+125
-130
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.82187-0.85397-0.30073
Frankie Saenz
Jonathan Martinez		50.6%
49.4%
+215
-250
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35893-0.36141-0.70617
Darren Till
Robert Whittaker		35.0%
65.0%
+150
-161
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49687-0.47963-0.43104
Fabricio Werdum
Alexander Gustafsson		55.4%
44.6%
+245
-274
+260
-270
Win
Loss		-1.27791-1.29455-0.58985
Paul Craig
Gadzhimurad Antigulov		54.4%
45.6%
-150
+135
-145
+135
Win
Loss		-0.53234-0.53931-0.60965
Mike Grundy
Movsar Evloev		44.0%
56.0%
+150
-167
+160
-170
Loss
Win		-0.48983-0.47400-0.57923
Raphael Pessoa
Tanner Boser		47.2%
52.8%
+220
-230
+220
-250
Loss
Win		-0.36782-0.35539-0.63824
Bethe Correia
Pannie Kianzad		53.6%
46.4%
+145
-145
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52452-0.51820-0.76854
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.