UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 12, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dominick Reyes
Nikita Krylov 		77.4%
22.6%
+155
-176
+160
-180
Overall Bet Value Active
Virna Jandiroba
Yan Xiaonan 		3.7%
96.3%
-140
+120
-145
+130
Chase Hooper
Jim Miller 		30.2%
69.8%
-900
+600
-800
+575
Julian Erosa
Darren Elkins 		70.5%
29.5%
-330
+280
-320
+290
Fights for Apr 11, 2025
Fights for Apr 13, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Edson Barboza
Sodiq Yusuff		26.4%
73.6%
+160
-170
+165
-160
Win
Loss		-0.96964-0.96727-1.33048
Ashley Yoder
Emily Ducote		50.0%
50.0%
+317
-383
+320
-380
Loss
Win		-0.26423-0.26295-0.69315
Bobby Green
Grant Dawson		27.1%
72.9%
+450
-503
+400
-430
Win
Loss		-1.72059-1.62070-1.30641
Joaquin Buckley
Alex Morono		29.0%
71.0%
-170
+167
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46678-0.47276-1.23929
Rick Glenn
Drew Dober		26.9%
73.1%
+350
-375
+300
-350
Loss
Win		-0.24801-0.27871-0.31315
Alexander Hernandez
Bill Algeo		75.4%
24.6%
-115
+102
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.73260-0.71668-1.40116
Diana Belbita
Karolina Kowalkiewicz		50.0%
50.0%
+130
-130
+117
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57054-0.58900-0.69315
Vanessa Demopoulos
Kanako Murata		50.0%
50.0%
+329
-350
+350
-380
Win
Loss		-1.46711-1.51786-0.69315
Dan Ige
Bryce Mitchell		53.3%
46.7%
+178
-207
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.42754-0.42889-0.76224
Michelle Waterson
Marina Rodriguez		44.5%
55.5%
+350
-383
+340
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24705-0.25496-0.58848
Charles Jourdain
Ricardo Ramos		31.1%
68.9%
-140
+131
-135
+131
Win
Loss		-0.55511-0.56165-1.16780
Hannah Goldy
Inoue Mizuki		50.0%
50.0%
+275
-325
+280
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29916-0.29484-0.69315
Alexa Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko		7.3%
92.7%
+145
-158
+150
-160
Draw
Draw		-0.71358-0.71617-1.34946
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Tracy Cortez		50.0%
50.0%
+105
-120
+115
-128
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.60349-0.69315
Tai Tuivasa
Alexander Volkov		26.3%
73.7%
+185
-210
+205
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.39473-0.30533
Rose Namajunas
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+165
-182
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46040-0.46185-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0 (1.000)0-0.30353 
Sportsbooks33-0 (1.000)0-0.31830 
DRatings32-0 (0.833)1-0.57554
-0.27201
-0.25723

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.