EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Apr 16, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Swindon Town
Peterborough United
13.2%
68.6%
18.2%
+390
-165
+360
-190
1
4
-0.54202-0.54128-0.37755
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
38.2%
33.0%
28.8%
-110
+280
-105
+220
3
2
-0.70936-0.78924-0.96315
Newcastle United
Manchester United
9.8%
74.0%
16.1%
+268
+114
+250
+115
0
2
-0.77749-0.80535-0.30062
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
3.9%
86.3%
9.7%
+746
-259
+750
-265
0
2
-0.35618-0.37086-0.14685
Southampton
Newcastle United
43.1%
30.5%
26.3%
+900
-275
+770
-260
1
2
-0.33476-0.37632-1.18721
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
83.1%
5.2%
11.7%
-160
+505
-170
+500
3
0
-0.50863-0.51089-0.18461
Newcastle United
Southampton
23.6%
52.3%
24.1%
-148
+485
-155
+475
1
0
-0.54201-0.54512-1.44515
Manchester City
Southampton
71.7%
11.3%
16.9%
-285
+895
-300
+850
0
2
-2.30579-2.30139-2.17745
Charlton Athletic
Manchester United
3.0%
89.4%
7.6%
+1781
-500
+1325
-550
0
3
-0.18131-0.21812-0.11158
Leicester City
Newcastle United
57.1%
19.8%
23.2%
+625
-151
+590
-215
0
2
-0.47072-0.43280-1.62126
Aston Villa
Manchester United
14.5%
66.5%
19.0%
+425
-141
+325
-160
2
4
-0.56249-0.60636-0.40770
Derby County
Liverpool
3.1%
88.4%
8.5%
+498
-165
+400
-225
2
3
-0.48337-0.48781-0.12366
Chelsea
Manchester City
16.4%
63.2%
20.4%
+509
-195
+500
-260
0
2
-0.45752-0.44751-0.45849
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
34.2%
36.4%
29.4%
+456
-140
+370
-175
2
3
-0.56233-0.57148-1.01063
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
78.5%
7.4%
14.1%
-111
+335
-135
+285
0
2
-1.49606-1.46881-2.59803
Blackburn
West Ham United
11.4%
71.6%
17.0%
+1150
-388

10
9
-2.55336-2.16963
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.