England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Sep 13, 2025
Games for Sep 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Watford		25.5%
48.3%		26.2%
+188
+142
+200
+140
1
0		-1.13280-1.15031-1.36637
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday		36.6%
34.3%		29.1%
-104
+275
-110
+285
3
0		-0.73796-0.69563-1.00436
Birmingham City
Stoke City		18.1%
58.9%		22.9%
+144
+191
+150
+200
0
1		-1.13669-1.14816-0.52918
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion		21.0%
54.8%		24.2%
+395
-134
+400
-130
1
0		-1.66590-1.65910-1.56284
Hull City
Swansea City		21.6%
54.9%		23.5%
+330
-126
+350
-125
2
2		-1.33629-1.34519-1.44719
Norwich City
Coventry City		48.9%
23.6%		27.5%
+325
-135
+335
-140
1
1		-1.44435-1.48510-1.29073
Millwall
Charlton Athletic		41.5%
30.0%		28.5%
+210
+142
+220
+145
1
1		-1.18817-1.16254-1.25642
Middlesbrough
Preston North End		30.6%
41.2%		28.1%
+125
+205
+115
+250
2
2		-1.26656-1.25713-1.26855
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		51.4%
22.5%		26.0%
+129
+220
+125
+230
2
0		-0.88841-0.86022-0.66499
Hull City
Bristol City		33.7%
39.2%		27.0%
+305
-121
+300
-110
2
4		-0.67572-0.69693-0.93524
Norwich City
Blackburn		41.0%
31.0%		28.0%
+225
+122
+235
+130
2
0		-1.24240-1.25846-0.89277
Charlton Athletic
Queens Park Rangers		30.8%
42.8%		26.3%
+126
+220
+155
+180
1
3		-1.21953-1.08063-0.84793
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City		40.3%
32.2%		27.5%
+167
+156
+180
+155
1
0		-1.05688-1.08063-0.90904
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		29.3%
43.7%		27.0%
+550
-222

1
7		-0.43303-0.82787
Middlesbrough
Norwich City		18.2%
57.4%		24.4%
+185
+142
+200
+140
2
1		-1.10803-1.14599-1.70254
Blackburn
Hull City		36.4%
36.6%		27.0%
+215
+135
+235
+130
3
0		-1.20141-1.25372-1.00991
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks81-3-4 (0.375)0-1.23859 
Sportsbooks81-3-4 (0.375)0-1.23790 
DRatings82-2-4 (0.500)0-1.21570
0.02289
0.02219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.