England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Coventry City
31.8%
38.6%
29.6%
+205
+117
+215
+115
0
2
-0.83552-0.81353-0.95143
Preston North End
Bristol City
30.8%
41.7%
27.4%
+300
-104
+325
-120
2
2
-1.26564-1.35810-1.29382
Stoke City
Derby County
36.8%
34.1%
29.1%
+310
+125
+330
+115
0
0
-1.05028-1.10633-1.23526
Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion
19.7%
57.2%
23.0%
+130
+200
+135
+200
3
5
-1.15900-1.14621-0.55781
Cardiff City
Norwich City
23.0%
51.6%
25.4%
+440
-190
+375
-165
2
4
-0.48357-0.52538-0.66101
Millwall
Burnley
14.9%
62.3%
22.8%
+500
-195
+520
-180
1
3
-0.47768-0.49163-0.47348
Bristol City
Leeds United
12.5%
68.7%
18.7%
+700
-255
+725
-260
0
4
-0.37917-0.37589-0.37516
West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City
38.6%
34.3%
27.1%
+235
+119
+260
+110
0
0
-1.22857-1.26012-1.30479
Swansea City
Millwall
44.0%
27.7%
28.4%
+220
+136
+225
+135
0
1
-0.92078-0.90387-1.28540
Derby County
Hull City
27.9%
45.9%
26.2%
+235
+136
+255
+135
1
0
-1.27275-1.31770-1.27733
Watford
Blackburn
39.5%
32.3%
28.2%
+420
-155
+440
-150
1
2
-0.56252-0.56138-1.12871
Norwich City
Middlesbrough
48.8%
23.9%
27.2%
+390
-165
+440
-175
0
0
-1.47924-1.52033-1.30195
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
64.8%
14.8%
20.4%
-125
+400
-115
+320
5
0
-0.63626-0.67523-0.43397
Coventry City
Luton Town
33.7%
37.0%
29.3%
+215
+140
+190
+150
0
1
-0.92103-0.96748-0.99360
Stoke City
Leeds United
13.4%
67.2%
19.4%
+900
-375
+1100
-410
0
6
-0.30526-0.26946-0.39729
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
21.0%
54.8%
24.2%
+310
+105
+355
-115
3
1
-1.46387-1.56695-1.56284
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.