Stoke City at Cardiff City

Updated

Stoke City

30.6%26.9%42.4%
Stoke City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Barnsley+160
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+400
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+110
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City-125
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+275
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+150
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+265
W 0-1 vs Derby County+110
L 1-0 vs Fulham+395
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+165+202+190+180+185+180+202+204.3
Cardiff City+165+160+155+148+149+148+160+167.7
Draw+220+221+205+210+222+210+222+235.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+185---+185+190+190+204.3
Cardiff City+155---+125+155+155+167.7
Draw+225---+200+220+220+235.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +204 to +198
Cardiff City ML moved from +145 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +210 to +190
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2-114o2-130o2-122-o2-122o2-114o2-109
Underu2¼+105u2-101u2+110u2+102-u2+102u2+110u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-109 to o2¼-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 032.91%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 025.70%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 310.74%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.87%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 059.77%
Exactly 130.76%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 053.31%
Exactly 133.53%
Exactly 210.55%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals19.74%
Wins by 3+ goals7.18%
Wins by 4+ goals2.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal18.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals12.56%
Wins by 3 goals5.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.65%29.35%
2.544.85%55.15%
3.523.60%76.40%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.00%96.00%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.09%32.91%
1.530.52%69.48%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.30%25.70%
1.539.38%60.62%
2.515.66%84.34%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.13%31.87%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
8.46%
11.49%
7.81%
3.54%
1.20%
0.33%
1
9.40%
12.77%
8.68%
3.93%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.22%
7.10%
4.82%
2.18%
0.74%
0.20%
3
1.94%
2.63%
1.79%
0.81%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.54%
0.73%
0.50%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.40%
2-05.22%
2-17.10%
3-01.94%
3-12.63%
3-21.79%
4-00.54%
4-10.73%
4-20.50%
4-30.22%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.46%
1-112.77%
2-24.82%
3-30.81%
Cardiff City
0-111.49%
0-27.81%
1-28.68%
0-33.54%
1-33.93%
2-32.18%
0-41.20%
1-41.33%
2-40.74%
3-40.27%
0-50.33%
1-50.36%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
31.87%
20.04%
6.30%
1.32%
0.21%
1
16.40%
10.31%
3.24%
0.68%
0.11%
2
4.22%
2.65%
0.83%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.72%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.40%
2-04.22%
2-12.65%
3-00.72%
3-10.46%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.87%
1-110.31%
2-20.83%
Cardiff City
0-120.04%
0-26.30%
1-23.24%
0-31.32%
1-30.68%
2-30.18%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%
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