Stoke City at Cardiff City

Updated

Stoke City

30.6%26.9%42.4%
Stoke City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Barnsley+160
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+400
L 2-1 vs Luton Town+110
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City-125
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+275
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+150
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+265
W 0-1 vs Derby County+110
L 1-0 vs Fulham+395
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+165+202+190+180+185+180+202+204.3
Cardiff City+165+160+155+148+149+148+160+167.7
Draw+220+221+205+210+222+210+222+235.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+185---+185+190+190+204.3
Cardiff City+155---+125+155+155+167.7
Draw+225---+200+220+220+235.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +204 to +198
Cardiff City ML moved from +145 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +210 to +190
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2-114o2-130o2-122-o2-122o2-114o2-109
Underu2¼+105u2-101u2+110u2+102-u2+102u2+110u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-109 to o2¼-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 032.91%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 025.70%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 310.74%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.87%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 059.77%
Exactly 130.76%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 053.31%
Exactly 133.53%
Exactly 210.55%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals19.74%
Wins by 3+ goals7.18%
Wins by 4+ goals2.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal18.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals12.56%
Wins by 3 goals5.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.65%29.35%
2.544.85%55.15%
3.523.60%76.40%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.00%96.00%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.09%32.91%
1.530.52%69.48%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.30%25.70%
1.539.38%60.62%
2.515.66%84.34%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.13%31.87%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
8.46%
11.49%
7.81%
3.54%
1.20%
0.33%
1
9.40%
12.77%
8.68%
3.93%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.22%
7.10%
4.82%
2.18%
0.74%
0.20%
3
1.94%
2.63%
1.79%
0.81%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.54%
0.73%
0.50%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.40%
2-05.22%
2-17.10%
3-01.94%
3-12.63%
3-21.79%
4-00.54%
4-10.73%
4-20.50%
4-30.22%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.46%
1-112.77%
2-24.82%
3-30.81%
Cardiff City
0-111.49%
0-27.81%
1-28.68%
0-33.54%
1-33.93%
2-32.18%
0-41.20%
1-41.33%
2-40.74%
3-40.27%
0-50.33%
1-50.36%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
31.87%
20.04%
6.30%
1.32%
0.21%
1
16.40%
10.31%
3.24%
0.68%
0.11%
2
4.22%
2.65%
0.83%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.72%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.40%
2-04.22%
2-12.65%
3-00.72%
3-10.46%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.87%
1-110.31%
2-20.83%
Cardiff City
0-120.04%
0-26.30%
1-23.24%
0-31.32%
1-30.68%
2-30.18%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%