Derby County at Cardiff City

Updated

Derby County

25.8%26.1%48.1%
Derby County WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.49
0Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
L 1-4 at Middlesbrough+540
W 1-3 vs Hull City+130
L 0-2 at Huddersfield+265
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fulham+395
L 1-2 at Huddersfield+215
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+220
L 1-2 at Millwall+240
W 1-0 at Barnsley+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+235+323+320+315+297+315+323+330.0
Cardiff City+116+112+100+110+102+110+112+117.6
Draw+235+213+210+200+220+200+220+224.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+310---+280+310+310+330.0
Cardiff City+100----115+110+110+117.6
Draw+225---+200+205+205+224.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +310 to +300
Cardiff City ML moved from +108 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +310 to +290
Cardiff City ML moved from +185 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-105o2-105o2-106-o2-106o2-105o2+104
Underu2¼-108u2-110u2-115u2-114-u2-114u2-110u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.17%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.39%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.47%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 56.71%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.19%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 022.58%
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 312.40%
Exactly 44.61%
Exactly 51.37%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.47%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 050.21%
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 211.92%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals24.01%
Wins by 3+ goals9.45%
Wins by 4+ goals2.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Cardiff City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal16.38%
Wins by 2 goals6.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals14.56%
Wins by 3 goals6.46%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.83%8.17%
1.571.36%28.64%
2.545.73%54.27%
3.524.33%75.67%
4.510.94%89.06%
5.54.23%95.77%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.81%36.19%
1.527.02%72.98%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.42%22.58%
1.543.82%56.18%
2.518.82%81.18%
3.56.41%93.59%
4.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.63%31.37%
1.532.27%67.73%
2.511.18%88.82%
3.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
8.17%
12.16%
9.05%
4.49%
1.67%
0.50%
1
8.31%
12.36%
9.20%
4.56%
1.70%
0.50%
2
4.22%
6.28%
4.67%
2.32%
0.86%
0.26%
3
1.43%
2.13%
1.58%
0.79%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.36%
0.54%
0.40%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.31%
2-04.22%
2-16.28%
3-01.43%
3-12.13%
3-21.58%
4-00.36%
4-10.54%
4-20.40%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.17%
1-112.36%
2-24.67%
3-30.79%
Cardiff City
0-112.16%
0-29.05%
1-29.20%
0-34.49%
1-34.56%
2-32.32%
0-41.67%
1-41.70%
2-40.86%
3-40.29%
0-50.50%
1-50.50%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
31.37%
21.61%
7.44%
1.71%
0.29%
1
14.76%
10.17%
3.50%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.47%
2.39%
0.82%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.54%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.76%
2-03.47%
2-12.39%
3-00.54%
3-10.38%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.37%
1-110.17%
2-20.82%
Cardiff City
0-121.61%
0-27.44%
1-23.50%
0-31.71%
1-30.80%
2-30.19%
0-40.29%
1-40.14%
Swansea City at West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn at Fulham