Hull City at Derby County

Updated

Hull City

36.8%27.9%35.3%
Hull City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Hull City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+180
W 0-2 vs Swansea City+185
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+550
W 0-2 vs Blackburn+220
L 2-0 vs Stoke City+175
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-2 at Huddersfield+265
T 2-2 vs Birmingham City+140
L 1-2 at Nottingham Forest+355
T 2-2 at Reading+190
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+235-+240+260+225+260+260+272.2
Derby County+120-+135+131+133+131+135+143.7
Draw+220-+185+194+208+194+208+211.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+220---+210+240+240+272.2
Derby County+140---+115+130+130+143.7
Draw+210---+195+210+210+211.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +245 to +235
Derby County ML moved from +138 to +131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +250 to +240
Derby County ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112-o2-105o2-107-o2-107o2-105o2+108
Underu2¼-108-u2-115u2-113-u2-113u2-113u2-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+108
Under-----u2-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.42%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 412.22%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.26%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.77%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Hull City
Exactly 029.98%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 031.43%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.50%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hull City
Exactly 057.25%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 28.91%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.51%
Exactly 131.36%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hull City
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.22%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals14.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Hull City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hull City
Wins by 1 goal21.33%
Wins by 2 goals10.62%
Wins by 3 goals3.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.50%
Wins by 2 goals9.81%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.58%9.42%
1.568.32%31.68%
2.542.04%57.96%
3.521.34%78.66%
4.59.12%90.88%
5.53.34%96.66%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Hull City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.02%29.98%
1.533.91%66.09%
2.512.15%87.85%
3.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.57%31.43%
1.532.19%67.81%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.50%33.50%
1.529.87%70.13%
2.59.83%90.17%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hull City
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.42%
10.91%
6.31%
2.43%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.35%
13.14%
7.60%
2.93%
0.85%
0.20%
2
6.84%
7.91%
4.58%
1.77%
0.51%
0.12%
3
2.75%
3.18%
1.84%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.83%
0.96%
0.55%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Hull City
1-011.35%
2-06.84%
2-17.91%
3-02.75%
3-13.18%
3-21.84%
4-00.83%
4-10.96%
4-20.55%
4-30.21%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.42%
1-113.14%
2-24.58%
3-30.71%
Derby County
0-110.91%
0-26.31%
1-27.60%
0-32.43%
1-32.93%
2-31.77%
0-40.70%
1-40.85%
2-40.51%
3-40.21%
0-50.16%
1-50.20%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Hull City
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.50%
17.95%
4.81%
0.86%
0.12%
1
18.68%
10.01%
2.68%
0.48%
0.06%
2
5.21%
2.79%
0.75%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.97%
0.52%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Hull City
1-018.68%
2-05.21%
2-12.79%
3-00.97%
3-10.52%
3-20.14%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-033.50%
1-110.01%
2-20.75%
Derby County
0-117.95%
0-24.81%
1-22.68%
0-30.86%
1-30.48%
2-30.13%
0-40.12%
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