Birmingham City at Derby County

Updated

Birmingham City

26.6%24.7%48.7%
Birmingham City WinDrawDerby County Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.63
2Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Barnsley+100
L 2-6 at Fulham+1000
T 1-1 at Preston North End+360
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+205
L 0-4 at Blackburn+295
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Nottingham Forest+355
T 2-2 at Reading+190
W 2-1 at Stoke City+460
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+575
L 0-1 at Bristol City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+230-+230+245+230+245+245+253.7
Derby County+120-+140+135+141+135+141+147.8
Draw+220-+185+200+206+200+206+218.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+235---+205+230+230+253.7
Derby County+135---+120+140+140+147.8
Draw+205---+190+200+200+218.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +240 to +230
Derby County ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +215 to +205
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-110o2-108-o2-108o2+104
Under-u2-110u2-112-u2-112u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.01%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 040.96%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 019.57%
Exactly 131.92%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 314.16%
Exactly 45.77%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.08%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 066.15%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 046.99%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.40%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals6.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals29.55%
Wins by 3+ goals12.67%
Wins by 4+ goals4.42%
Wins by 5+ goals1.28%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal13.79%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal25.20%
Wins by 2 goals16.88%
Wins by 3 goals8.24%
Wins by 4 goals3.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.98%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.99%8.01%
1.571.76%28.24%
2.546.23%53.77%
3.524.76%75.24%
4.511.21%88.79%
5.54.36%95.64%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.04%40.96%
1.522.48%77.52%
2.56.16%93.84%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.43%19.57%
1.548.51%51.49%
2.522.48%77.52%
3.58.32%91.68%
4.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.92%31.08%
1.532.60%67.40%
2.511.38%88.62%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.01%
13.07%
10.66%
5.80%
2.37%
0.77%
1
7.15%
11.67%
9.52%
5.18%
2.11%
0.69%
2
3.19%
5.21%
4.25%
2.31%
0.94%
0.31%
3
0.95%
1.55%
1.26%
0.69%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.21%
0.35%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-07.15%
2-03.19%
2-15.21%
3-00.95%
3-11.55%
3-21.26%
4-00.21%
4-10.35%
4-20.28%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.01%
1-111.67%
2-24.25%
3-30.69%
Derby County
0-113.07%
0-210.66%
1-29.52%
0-35.80%
1-35.18%
2-32.31%
0-42.37%
1-42.11%
2-40.94%
3-40.28%
0-50.77%
1-50.69%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.08%
23.48%
8.87%
2.23%
0.42%
1
12.84%
9.70%
3.66%
0.92%
0.17%
2
2.65%
2.00%
0.76%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.37%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-012.84%
2-02.65%
2-12.00%
3-00.37%
3-10.28%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-031.08%
1-19.70%
2-20.76%
Derby County
0-123.48%
0-28.87%
1-23.66%
0-32.23%
1-30.92%
2-30.19%
0-40.42%
1-40.17%
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