England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Fulham
Huddersfield
54.7%
22.8%
22.4%
-109
+355
-110
+345
5
1
-0.69349-0.69689-0.60263
Preston North End
Reading
32.3%
42.7%
25.1%
+230
+141
+220
+140
1
2
-0.90964-0.92591-0.85132
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City
30.1%
47.1%
22.8%
+200
+153
+200
+145
3
0
-1.13890-1.14662-1.20081
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
36.1%
37.4%
26.5%
+355
+106
+335
+105
1
2
-0.74026-0.75239-0.98315
Nottingham Forest
Coventry City
34.8%
37.3%
27.8%
+250
+120
+255
+125
1
2
-0.83711-0.85849-0.98516
Middlesbrough
Fulham
21.9%
55.3%
22.8%
+390
-110
+375
-120
1
1
-1.25180-1.27268-1.47907
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
39.9%
34.3%
25.8%
+280
+111
+275
+105
1
1
-1.24393-1.27122-1.35441
Hull City
Preston North End
36.6%
38.4%
25.0%
+240
+134
+230
+125
4
1
-1.24095-1.24320-1.00398
Swansea City
Blackburn
40.6%
33.9%
25.5%
+265
+120
+260
+115
1
2
-0.80831-0.81482-1.08258
Huddersfield
Derby County
30.3%
44.0%
25.7%
+250
+341
+260
+120
1
1
-1.07391-1.21790-1.35856
Reading
Stoke City
34.7%
39.7%
25.6%
+330
+102
+290
+105
2
3
-0.73779-0.76845-0.92269
Barnsley
Cardiff City
29.6%
46.1%
24.3%
+223
+158
+200
+150
1
1
-1.18352-1.19696-1.41473
West Bromwich Albion
Bournemouth
31.6%
43.1%
25.3%
+195
+150
+190
+150
2
2
-1.25421-1.22984-1.37271
Swansea City
Brentford
31.4%
41.4%
27.3%
+415
-116
+378
-120
0
2
-0.64754-0.64970-0.88283
Barnsley
Swansea City
23.6%
54.5%
22.0%
+184
+181
+175
+180
1
1
-1.06860-1.06811-1.02680
Bournemouth
Brentford
31.3%
41.4%
27.4%
+325
-112
+280
-105
1
3
-0.67863-0.72081-0.88295
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.